INTRODUCTION
STRUCTURE, COVERAGE AND CONCEPTS
Historical Tables provides a wide range of data on Federal Government
finances. Many of the data series begin in 1940 and include estimates of
the President's budget for 2002–2007. Additionally, Table 1.1
provides data on receipts, outlays, and surpluses or deficits for 1901–1939
and for earlier multi-year periods.
Structure
This document is composed of 17 sections, each of which has one or more
tables. Each section covers a common theme. Section 1, for example, provides
an overview of the budget and off-budget totals; Section 2 provides tables
on receipts by source; and Section 3 shows outlays by function. When a
section contains several tables, the general rule is to start with tables
showing the broadest overview data and then work down to more detailed
tables. The purpose of these tables is to present a broad range of historical
budgetary data in one convenient reference source and to provide relevant
comparisons likely to be most useful. The most common comparisons are in
terms of proportions (e.g., each major receipt category as a percentage
of total receipts and of the gross domestic product).
Section notes explain the nature of the activities covered by the tables
in each section. Additional descriptive information is also included where
appropriate. Explanations are generally not repeated, but there are occasional
cross-references to related materials.
Because of the numerous changes in the way budget data have been presented
over time, there are inevitable difficulties in trying to produce comparable
data to cover many years. The general rule is to provide data in as meaningful
and comparable a fashion as possible. To the extent feasible, the data
are presented on a basis consistent with current budget concepts. When
a structural change is made, insofar as possible the data are adjusted
for all years.
One significant change made in the early 1990s concerns the budgetary
treatment of Federal credit programs, which was changed by the Federal
Credit Reform Act of 1990. Previously the budget recorded the cost of direct
and guaranteed loans on a cash basis. Under credit reform, the budget only
records budget authority and outlays for the subsidy cost of direct and
guaranteed loans made in 1992 and subsequent years. The subsidy is defined
as the net estimated cash flows to and from the Government over the life
of the loan, discounted to the present. The cash transactions are recorded
as a means of financing item. Because it was impossible to convert the
pre–1992 loans to a credit reform basis, the data are on a cash
basis for pre–1992 loans and on a credit reform basis for loans
made in 1992 and subsequent years.
This year's budget proposes to have all agencies fund retirement and
retiree health costs on an full accrual basis. Most of the impact of this
proposal is felt in salary and expense accounts. In addition, certain new
trust fund accounts are created to finance certain retirement benefits,
which had previously been on pay as you go basis. The proposed change does
not affect the budget aggregates but it does change the distribution by
Budget Enforcement Act category, agency, and function. To allow for comparability
across years covered by the budget horizon, the budget estimates are adjusted
beginning in 2001 as if they reforms had taken effect then. Earlier years
in the historical tables have not been adjusted causing a disconnect between
2001 and previous years.
Coverage
The Federal Government has used the unified or consolidated budget concept
as the foundation for its budgetary analysis and presentation since the
1969 budget. The basic guidelines for the unified budget were presented
in the Report of the President's Commission on Budget Concepts (October
1967). The Commission recommended the budget include all Federal fiscal
activities unless there were exceptionally persuasive reasons for exclusion.
Nevertheless, from the very beginning some programs were perceived as warranting
special treatment. Indeed, the Commission itself recommended a bifurcated
presentation: a "unified budget" composed of an "expenditure account" and
a "loan account." The distinction between the expenditure account and the
loan account proved to be confusing and caused considerable complication
in the budget for little benefit. As a result, this distinction was eliminated
starting with the 1974 budget. However, even prior to the 1974 budget,
the Export-Import Bank had been excluded by law from the budget totals,
and other exclusions followed. The structure of the budget was gradually
revised to show the off-budget transactions in many locations along with
the on-budget transactions, and the off-budget amounts were added to the
on-budget amounts in order to show total Federal spending.
The Balanced Budget and Emergency Deficit Control Act of 1985 (Public
Law 99–177) repealed the off-budget status of all then existing
off-budget entities, but it also included a provision moving the Federal
old-age, survivors, and disability insurance funds (collectively known
as social security) off-budget. To provide a consistent time series, the
budget historical data show social security off-budget for all years since
its inception, and show all formerly off-budget entities on-budget for
all years. The Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1989 (OBRA 1989) moved
the Postal Service fund off-budget, starting in fiscal year 1989. Prior
to that year, the Postal Service fund is shown on-budget.
Though social security and the Postal Service are now off-budget, they
continue to be Federal programs. Indeed, social security currently accounts
for about one-fourth of all Federal receipts and over one-fifth of all
Federal spending. Hence, the budget documents include these funds and focus
on the Federal totals that combine the on-budget and off-budget amounts.
Various budget tables and charts show total Federal receipts, outlays,
and surpluses and deficits, and divide these totals between the portions
that are on-budget and off-budget.
Changes in Historical Budget Authority, Outlays, Receipts and Deficits
The major budget totals for 1989 and 1999 have changed from those published
in the 2002 Budget due to corrections reported to the Treasury. Outlays
for 1989 increased by $12 million for international monetary programs.
Outlays for 1999 decreased by $943 million, resulting from changes in the
Department of Education's Federal Family Education Loans liquidating account.
Other changes were made to the functional or Budget Enforcement Act
(BEA) category classifications of certain accounts as a result of joint
consultations among congressional committees, the Congressional Budget
Office and the Office of Management and Budget. The most significant reclassificaton
shifted foster care and adoption assistance from the social services subfunction
to the other income security subfunction. These grants to States were also
reclassified as payments to individuals in tables showing the composition
of outlays. The change affects outlays and budget authority beginning in
1981.
Constant Dollar Amounts and Percents of GDP
The time series for fiscal year nominal Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has
been revised back to 1998 to incorporate the benchmark GDP revisions completed
by the staff of the Bureau of Economic Analysis in the Department of Commerce.
Corresponding revisions were made to the price indexes of various components
of GDP. As a result, historical budget data expressed as a percent of GDP
or in constant dollars have also been revised.
Note on the Fiscal Year
The Federal fiscal year begins on October 1 and ends on the subsequent
September 30. It is designated by the year in which it ends; for example,
fiscal year 2001 began on October 1, 2000, and ended on September 30, 2001.
Prior to fiscal year 1977 the Federal fiscal years began on July 1 and
ended on June 30. In calendar year 1976 the July-September period was a
separate accounting period (known as the transition quarter or TQ) to bridge
the period required to shift to the new fiscal year.
Concepts Relevant to the Historical Tables
Budget receipts constitute the income side of the budget; they are
composed almost entirely of taxes or other compulsory payments to the Government.
Any income from business-type activities (e.g., interest income or sale
of electric power), and any income by Government accounts arising from
payments by other Government accounts is offset against outlays, so that
total budget outlays are reported net of offsetting collections.
This method of accounting permits users to easily identify the size and
trends in Federal taxes and other compulsory income, and in Federal spending
financed from taxes, other compulsory income, or borrowing. Budget surplus
refers to any excess of budget receipts over budget outlays, while budget
deficit refers to any excess of budget outlays over budget receipts.
The terms off-budget receipts, off-budget outlays, off-budget surpluses,
and off-budget deficits refer to similar categories for off-budget
activities. The sum of the on-budget and off-budget transactions constitute
the consolidated or total Federal Government transactions.
The budget is divided between two fund groups, Federal funds and trust
funds. The Federal funds grouping includes all receipts and outlays not
specified by law as being trust funds. All Federal funds are on-budget
except for the Postal Service fund, which is off-budget starting with fiscal
year 1989. All trust funds are on-budget, except the two social security
retirement trust funds, which are shown off-budget for all years.
The term trust fund as used in Federal budget accounting is frequently
misunderstood. In the private sector, "trust" refers to funds of one party
held by a second party (the trustee) in a fiduciary capacity. In the Federal
budget, the term "trust fund" means only that the law requires the funds
be accounted for separately and used only for specified purposes and that
the account in which the funds are deposited is designated as a "trust
fund." A change in law may change the future receipts and the terms under
which the fund's resources are spent. The determining factor as to whether
a particular fund is designated as a "Federal" fund or "trust" fund is
the law governing the fund.
The largest trust funds are for retirement and social insurance (e.g.,
civil service and military retirement, social security, medicare, and unemployment
benefits). They are financed largely by social insurance taxes and contributions
and payments from the general fund (the main component of Federal funds).
However, there are also major trust funds for transportation (highway and
airport and airways) and for other programs financed in whole or in part
by beneficiary-based, earmarked taxes.
Sometimes there is confusion between budget receipts and offsetting
receipts and offsetting collections. Receipts are income that results from
the Government's exercise of its sovereign power to tax, or otherwise compel
payment, or from gifts of money to the Government. They are also called
governmental receipts or budget receipts. Offsetting collections and offsetting
receipts result from either of two kinds of transactions: business-like
or market-oriented activities with the public and intragovernmental transactions,
the receipt by one Government account of a payment from another account.
For example, the budget records the proceeds from the sale of postage
stamps, the fees charged for admittance to recreation areas, and the proceeds
from the sale of Government-owned land, as offsetting collections or offsetting
receipts. An example of an intragovernmental transaction is the payments
received by the General Services Administration from other Government agencies
for the rent of office space. These are credited as offsetting collections
in the Federal Buildings Fund. Offsetting collections and offsetting receipts
are deducted from gross budget authority and outlays, rather than added
to receipts. This treatment produces budget totals for receipts, budget
authority, and outlays that represent governmental transactions with the
public rather than market activity.
When funds are earmarked, it means the receipts or collections are separately
identified and used for a specified purpose—they are not commingled
(in an accounting sense) with any other money. This does not mean the money
is actually kept in a separate bank account. All money in the Treasury
is merged for efficient cash management. However, any earmarked funds are
accounted for in such a way that the balances are always identifiable and
available for the stipulated purposes.
SECTION NOTES
Notes on Section 1 (Overview of Federal Government Finances)
This section provides an overall perspective on total receipts, outlays
(spending), and surpluses or deficits. Off-budget transactions, which consist
of social security trust funds for all years and the Postal Service fund
as of 1989, and on-budget transactions, which equal the total minus the
off-budget transactions, are shown separately. Tables 1.1 and 1.2 have
similar structures; 1.1 shows the data in millions of dollars, while 1.2
shows the same data as percentages of the gross domestic product (GDP).
For all the tables using GDP, fiscal year GDP is used to calculate percentages
of GDP. The fiscal year GDP data are shown in Table 1.2. Additionally,
Table 1.1 shows budget totals annually back to 1901 and for multi-year
periods back to 1789.
Table 1.3 shows total Federal receipts, outlays, and surpluses or deficits
in current and constant (Fiscal Year 1996=100) dollars, and as percentages
of GDP. Section 6 provides a disaggregation of the constant dollar outlays.
Table 1.4 shows receipts, outlays and surpluses or deficits for the
consolidated budget by fund group. The budget is composed of two principal
fund groups—Federal funds and trust funds. Normally, whenever
data are shown by fund group, any payments from programs in one fund group
to accounts of the other are shown as outlays of the paying fund and receipts
of the collecting fund. When the two fund groups are aggregated to arrive
at budget totals these interfund transactions are deducted from both receipts
and outlays in order to arrive at transactions with the public. Table 1.4
displays receipts and outlays on a gross basis. That is, in contrast to
normal budget practice, collections of interfund payments are included
in the receipts totals rather than as offsets to outlays. These interfund
collections are grossed-up to more closely approximate cash income and
outgo of the fund groups.
Notes on Section 2 (Composition of Federal Government Receipts)
Section 2 provides historical information on on-budget and off-budget receipts.
Table 2.1 shows total receipts divided into five major categories; it also
shows the split between on-budget and off-budget receipts. Table 2.2 shows
the receipts by major category as percentages of total receipts, while
Table 2.3 shows the same categories of receipts as percentages of GDP.
Table 2.4 disaggregates two of the major receipts categories, social insurance
taxes and contributions and excise taxes, and Table 2.5 disaggregates the
"other receipts" category. While the focus of the section is on total Federal
receipts, auxiliary data show the amounts of trust fund receipts in each
category, so it is possible to readily distinguish the Federal fund and
trust fund portions.
Notes on Section 3 (Federal Government Outlays by Function)
Section 3 displays Federal Government outlays (on-budget and off-budget)
according to their functional classification. The functional structure
is divided into 18 broad areas (functions) that provide a coherent and
comprehensive basis for analyzing the budget. Each function, in turn, is
divided into basic groupings of programs entitled subfunctions. The structure
has two categories—allowances and undistributed offsetting receipts—that
are not truly functions but are required in order to cover the entire budget.
At times a more summary presentation of functional data is needed; the
data by "superfunction" is produced to satisfy this need. Table 3.1 provides
outlays by superfunction and function while Table 3.2 shows outlays by
function and subfunction.
In arraying data on a functional basis, budget authority and outlays
are classified according to the primary purpose of the activity. To the
extent feasible, this classification is made without regard to agency or
organizational distinctions. Classifying each activity solely in the function
defining its most important purpose—even though many activities
serve more than one purpose—permits adding the budget authority
and outlays of each function to obtain the budget totals. For example,
Federal spending for medicaid constitutes a health care program, but it
also constitutes a form of income security benefits. However, the spending
cannot be counted in both functions; since the main purpose of medicaid
is to finance the health care of the beneficiaries, this program is classified
in the "health" function. Section 3 provides data on budget outlays by
function, while Section 5 provides comparable data on budget authority.
A new subfunction, other investment and income (909), has been added
to the net interest function in this year's budget. This subfunction includes
the earnings of the National Railroad Retirement Investment Trust. (The
Railroad Retirement and Survivor's Improvement Act provided special accounting
treatment for the Trust that is inconsistent with standard budget practices
and conventions.) Amounts recorded in the new subfunction will include
interest, dividends, and capital gains and losses on private equities and
other securities.
Notes on Section 4 (Federal Government Outlays by Agency)
Section 4 displays Federal Government outlays (on- and off-budget) by agency.
Table 4.1 shows the dollar amounts of such outlays, and Table 4.2 shows
the percentage distribution. The outlays by agency are based on the agency
structure currently in effect. For example, the Department of Education
was established by legislation enacted in 1979. However, these data show
spending by the Department of Education in previous years that consists
of education spending attributable to other agencies in earlier years,
but now attributable to the Department of Education.
Notes on Section 5 (Budget Authority—On- and Off-Budget)
Section 5 provides data on budget authority (BA). BA is the authority provided
by law for agencies to obligate the Government to spend. Table 5.1 shows
BA by function and subfunction, starting with 1976. Table 5.2 provides
the same information by agency, and Table 5.3 provides a percentage distribution
of BA by agency. Tables 5.4 and 5.5 provide the same displays as Tables
5.2 and 5.3, but for discretionary budget authority rather than total budget
authority. (Discretionary refers to the Budget Enforcement Act category
that includes programs subject to the annual appropriations process.)
The data in these tables were compiled using the same methods used for
the historical tables for receipts and outlays (e.g., to the extent feasible,
changes in classification are reflected retroactively so the data show
the same stream of transactions in the same location for all years). However,
BA is heterogeneous in nature, varying significantly from one program to
another. As a result, it is not additive—either across programs
or agencies for a year or, in many cases, for an agency or program across
a series of years—in the same sense that budget receipts and
budget outlays are additive. The following are examples of different kinds
of BA and the manner in which BA results in outlays.
BA and outlays for each year may be exactly the same (e.g.,
interest on the public debt).
For each year the Congress may appropriate a large quantity of BA that
will be spent over a subsequent period of years (e.g., many defense procurement
contracts and major construction programs).
Some BA (e.g., the salaries and expenses of an operating agency) is
made available only for a year and any portion not obligated during that
year lapses (i.e., it ceases to be available to be obligated).
Revolving funds may operate spending programs indefinitely with no new
infusion of BA, other than the authority to spend offsetting collections.
BA may be enacted with the expectation it is unlikely ever to be used
(e.g., standby borrowing authority).
All income to a fund (e.g., certain revolving, special, and trust funds)
may be permanently appropriated as BA; as long as the fund has adequate
resources, there is no further relationship between the BA and outlays.
As a result of the Budget Enforcement Act of 1990, the measurement of
BA changed in most special and trust funds with legislatively imposed limitations
or benefit formulas that constrain the use of BA. Where previously budget
authority was the total income to the fund, BA in these funds for 1990
and subsequent years is now an estimate of the obligations to be incurred
during the fiscal year for benefit payments, administration and other expenses
of the fund. In some, but not all, cases it was possible to adjust BA figures
for these funds for years prior to 1990 to conform to the current concepts.
Although major changes in the way BA is measured for credit programs
(beginning in 1992) result from the Budget Enforcement Act, these tables
could not be reconstructed to show revised BA figures for 1991 and prior
years on the new basis.
In its earliest years, the Federal Financing Bank (FFB) was conducted as
a revolving fund, making direct loans to the public or purchasing loan
assets from other funds or accounts. Each new loan by the FFB required
new BA. In many cases, if the same loan were made by the account being
serviced by the FFB, the loan could be financed from offsetting collections
and no new BA would be recorded. Under terms of the 1985 legislation moving
the FFB on-budget, the FFB ceased to make direct loans to the public. Instead,
it makes loans to the accounts it services, and these accounts, in turn,
make the loans to the public. Such loans could be made from new BA or other
obligational authority available to the parent account. These tables have
not been reconstructed to shift BA previously scored in the FFB to the
parent accounts, because there is no technical way to reconfigure the data.
Despite these qualifications there is a desire for historical data on
BA, and this section has been developed to meet that desire. Budget authority
data are also provided by function in Table 8.9 for various discretionary
program groupings.
Notes on Section 6 (Composition of Federal Government Outlays)
The "composition" categories in this section divide total outlays (including
social security) into national defense and nondefense components, and then
disaggregate the nondefense spending into several parts:
Payments for individuals: These are Federal Government
spending programs designed to transfer income (in cash or in kind) to individuals
or families. To the extent feasible, this category does not include reimbursements
for current services rendered to the Government (e.g., salaries and interest).
The payments may be in the form of cash paid directly to individuals or
they may take the form of the provision of services or the payment of bills
for activities largely financed from personal income. They include outlays
for the provision of medical care (in veterans hospitals, for example)
and for the payment of medical bills (e.g., medicare). They also include
subsidies to reduce the cost of housing below market rates, and food and
nutrition assistance (such as food stamps). The data base, while not precise,
provides a reasonable perspective of the size and composition of income
support transfers within any particular year and trends over time. Section
11 disaggregates the components of this category. The data in Section 6
show a significant amount of payments for individuals takes the form of
grants to State and local governments to finance benefits for the ultimate
recipients. These grants include medicaid, some food and nutrition assistance,
and a significant portion of the housing assistance payments. Sections
11 and 12 provide a more detailed disaggregation of this spending.
All other grants to State and local governments: This category
consists of the Federal nondefense grants to State and local governments
other than grants defined as payments for individuals. Section 12 disaggregates
this spending.
Net interest: This category consists of all spending (including
offsetting receipts) included in the functional category "net interest."
Most spending for net interest is paid to the public as interest on the
Federal debt. As shown in Table 3.2, net interest includes, as an offset,
significant amounts of interest income.
All other: This category consists of all remaining Federal spending
and offsetting receipts except for those included in the category "undistributed
offsetting receipts." It includes most Federal loan activities and most
Federal spending for foreign assistance, farm price supports, medical and
other scientific research, and, in general, Federal direct program operations.
Undistributed offsetting receipts: These are offsetting receipts
that are not offset against any specific agency or programmatic function.
They are classified as function 950 in the functional tables. Additional
details on their composition can be found at the end of Table 3.2.
Table 6.1 shows these outlays in current and constant dollars, the percentage
distribution of current dollar outlays, and the current dollar outlays
as percentages of GDP. The term "constant dollars" means the amounts of
money that would have had to be spent in each year if, on average, the
unit cost of everything purchased within that category each year (including
purchases financed by income transfers, interest, etc.) were the same as
in the base year (fiscal year 1996). The adjustments to constant dollars
are made by applying a series of chain-weighted price indexes to the current
dollar data base. The composite total outlays deflator is used to deflate
current dollar receipts to produce the constant dollar receipts in Table
1.3. The separate composite deflators used for the various outlay categories
are shown in Table 10.1.
Notes on Section 7 (Federal Debt)
This section provides information about Federal debt. Table 7.1 contains
data on gross Federal debt and its major components in terms of both the
amount of debt outstanding at the end of each year and that amount as a
percentage of fiscal year GDP.
Gross Federal debt is composed both of Federal debt held (owned) by
the public and Federal debt held by Federal Government accounts, which
is mostly held by trust funds. Federal debt held by the public consists
of all Federal debt held outside the Federal Government accounts. For example,
it includes debt held by individuals, private banks and insurance companies,
the Federal Reserve Banks, and foreign central banks. The sale (or repayment)
of Federal debt to the public is the principal means of financing a Federal
budget deficit (or disposing of a Federal budget surplus).
The Federal Government accounts holding the largest amount of Federal
debt securities are the civil service and military retirement, social security,
and medicare trust funds. However, significant amounts are also held by
some other Government accounts, such as the unemployment and highway trust
funds.
Table 7.1 divides debt held by the public between the amount held by
the Federal Reserve Banks and the remainder. The Federal Reserve System
is the central bank for the Nation. Their holdings of Federal debt are
shown separately because they do not have the same impact on private credit
markets as does other debt held by the public. They accumulate Federal
debt as a result of their role as the country's central bank, and the size
of these holdings has a major impact on the Nation's money supply. Since
the Federal budget does not forecast Federal Reserve monetary policy, it
does not project future changes in the amounts of Federal debt that will
be held by the Federal Reserve Banks. Hence, the split of debt held by
the public into that portion held by the Federal Reserve Banks and the
remainder is provided only for past years. Table 2.5 shows deposits of
earnings by the Federal Reserve System. Most interest paid by Treasury
on debt held by the Federal Reserve Banks is returned to the Treasury as
deposits of earnings, which are recorded as budget receipts.
As a result of a conceptual revision in the quantification of Federal
debt, the data on debt held by the public and gross Federal debt—but
only a small part of debt held by Government accounts—were revised
back to 1956 in the 1990 budget. The total revision was relatively small—a
change of under one percent of the recorded value of the debt—but
the revised basis is more consistent with the quantification of interest
outlays, and provides a more meaningful measure of Federal debt. The change
converted most debt held by the public from the par value to the sales
price plus amortized discount.
Most debt held by Government accounts is issued at par, and securities
issued at a premium or discount have traditionally been recorded at par.
However, zero-coupon bonds are recorded at estimated market price. Starting
in 1989, total debt held by Government accounts is adjusted for any initial
discount on other securities.
Table 7.2 shows the end-of-year amounts of Federal debt subject to the
general statutory limitation. It is recorded at par value (except for savings
bonds) through 1988, but by law the basis was changed, in part, to accrual
value for later years. Before World War I, each debt issue by the Government
required specific authorization by the Congress. Starting in 1917, the
nature of this limitation was modified in several steps until it developed
into a limit on the total amount of Federal debt outstanding. The Treasury
is free to borrow whatever amounts are needed up to the debt limit, which
is changed from time to time to meet new requirements. Table 7.3 shows
the ceiling at each point in time since 1940. It provides the specific
legal citation, a short description of the change, and the amount of the
limit specified by each Act. Most, but not all, of gross Federal debt is
subject to the statutory limit.
Notes on Section 8 (Outlays by Budget Enforcement Act Category)
Section 8 is composed of nine tables, eight of which present outlays by
the major categories used under the Budget Enforcement Act (BEA) and under
previous budget agreements between Congress and the current and previous
Administrations. The final table presents discretionary budget authority.
(Discretionary budget authority is shown on an agency basis in Section
5, Table 5.4 and Table 5.5.) Table 8.1 shows Federal outlays within each
of the categories and subcategories. The principal categories are outlays
for mandatory and related programs and outlays for discretionary programs.
Mandatory and related programs include direct spending and offsetting receipts
whose budget authority is provided by law other than appropriations acts.
These include appropriated entitlements and the food stamp program, which
receive pro forma appropriations. Discretionary programs are those whose
budgetary resources (other than entitlement authority) are provided in
appropriations acts. The table shows three categories of discretionary
programs: Defense (Function 050), International (Function 150), and Domestic
(all other discretionary programs). Table 8.2 has the same structure, but
shows the data in constant (FY 1996) dollars. Table 8.3 shows the percentage
distribution of outlays by BEA category and Table 8.4 shows outlays by
BEA category as a percentage of GDP.
Table 8.5 provides additional detail by function and/or subfunction
for mandatory and related programs. Table 8.6 shows the same data in constant
dollars.
Table 8.7 provides additional detail by function and/or subfunction
on outlays for discretionary programs. Table 8.8 provides the same data
in constant dollars. Table 8.9 provides function and/or subfunction detail
on budget authority for discretionary programs.
Notes on Section 9 (Federal Government Outlays for Major Physical Capital,
Research and Development, and Education and Training)
Tables in this section provide a broad perspective on Federal Government
outlays for public physical capital, the conduct of research and development
(R&D), and education and training. These data measure new Federal spending
for major public physical assets, but they exclude major commodity inventories.
In some cases it was necessary to use supplementary data sources to estimate
missing data in order to develop a consistent historical data series. The
data for the conduct of research and development continue to exclude outlays
for construction and major equipment because such spending is included
in outlays for physical capital.
Table 9.1 shows total investment outlays for major public physical capital,
R&D, and education and training in current and constant (FY 1996) dollars,
and shows the percentage distribution of outlays and outlays as a percentage
of GDP. Table 9.2 focuses on direct Federal outlays and grants for major
public physical capital investment in current and constant (FY 1996) dollars,
disaggregating direct Federal outlays into national defense and nondefense
capital investment. Table 9.3 retains the same structure as 9.2, but shows
direct Federal outlay totals for physical capital investment as percentages
of total outlays and as percentages of GDP. Table 9.4 disaggregates national
defense direct outlays, while Table 9.5 disaggregates nondefense outlays
for major public physical capital investment. Table 9.6 shows the composition
of grant outlays for major public physical capital investment.
Table 9.7 provides an overall perspective on Federal Government outlays
for the conduct of R&D. It shows total R&D spending and the split
between national defense and nondefense spending in four forms: in current
dollars, in constant dollars, as percentages of total outlays, and as percentages
of GDP. Table 9.8 shows outlays in current dollars by major function and
program.
Table 9.9 shows outlays for the conduct of education and training in
current dollars for direct Federal programs and for grants to State and
local governments. Total outlays for the conduct of education and training
as a percentage of Federal outlays and in constant (FY 1996) dollars are
also shown. As with the series on physical capital, several budget data
sources have been used to develop a consistent data series extending back
to 1962. A discontinuity occurs between 1991 and 1992 and affects primarily
direct Federal higher education outlays. For 1991 and earlier, these data
include net loan outlays. Beginning in 1992, pursuant to changes in the
treatment of loans as specified in the Credit Reform Act of 1990, this
series includes outlays for loan repayments and defaults for loans originated
in 1991 and earlier and credit subsidy outlays for loans originated in
1992 and later years.
Table 9.9 also excludes education and training outlays for physical
capital (which are included in Table 9.7) and education and training outlays
for the conduct of research and development (which are in Table 9.8). Also
excluded are education and training programs for Federal civilian and military
personnel.
Notes on Section 10 (Implicit Outlay Deflators)
Section 10 consists of Table 10.1, Gross Domestic Product and Deflators
Used in the Historical Tables, which shows the various implicit deflators
used to convert current dollar outlays to constant dollars. The constant
dollar deflators are based on chain-weighted (FY 1996 chained-dollars)
price indexes derived from the National Income and Product Accounts data.
Notes on Section 11 (Federal Government Payments for Individuals)
This section provides detail on outlays for Federal Government payments
for individuals, which are also described in the notes on Section 6. The
basic purpose of the payments for individuals aggregation is to provide
a broad perspective on Federal cash or in-kind payments for which no current
service is rendered yet which constitutes income transfers to individuals
and families. Table 11.1 provides an overview display of these data in
four different forms. All four of these displays show the total payments
for individuals, and the split of this total between grants to State and
local governments for payments for individuals (such as medicaid and grants
for housing assistance) and all other ("direct") payments for individuals.
Table 11.2 shows the functional composition of payments for individuals
(see notes on Section 3 for a description of the functional classification),
and includes the same grants versus nongrants ("direct") split provided
in Table 11.1. The off-budget social security program finances a significant
portion of the Federal payments for individuals. These tables do not distinguish
between the on-budget and off-budget payments for individuals. However,
all payments for individuals shown in Table 11.2 in function 650 (social
security) are off-budget outlays, and all other payments for individuals
are on-budget. Table 11.3 displays the payments for individuals by major
program category.
Notes on Section 12 (Federal Grants To State and Local Governments)
For several decades the Federal budget documents have provided data on
Federal grants to State and local governments. The purpose of these data
is to identify Federal Government outlays that constitute income to State
and local governments to help finance their services and their income transfers
(payments for individuals) to the public. Grants generally exclude Federal
Government payments for services rendered directly to the Federal Government;
for example, they exclude most Federal Government payments for research
and development, and they exclude payments to State social service agencies
for screening disability insurance beneficiaries for the Federal disability
insurance trust fund.
Table 12.1 provides an overall perspective on grants; its structure
is similar to the structure of Table 11.1.
Table 12.2 displays Federal grants by function (see notes on Section
3 for a description of the functional classification). The bulk of Federal
grants are included in the Federal funds group; however, since the creation
of the highway trust fund in 1957, significant amounts of grants have been
financed from trust funds (see notes to Section 1 for a description of
the difference between "Federal funds" and "trust funds"). All Federal
grants are on-budget. Wherever trust fund outlays are included in those
data, Table 12.2 not only identifies the total grants by function but also
shows the split between Federal funds and trust funds.
Table 12.3 provides data on grants at the account or program level,
with an identification of the function, agency, and fund group of the payment.
Notes on Section 13 (Social Security and Medicare)
Over the past several decades the social security programs (the Federal
old-age and survivors insurance (OASI) and the Federal disability insurance
(DI) trust funds) and the medicare programs (the Federal hospital insurance
(HI) and the Federal supplementary medical insurance (SMI) trust funds)
have grown to be among the largest parts of the Federal budget. Because
of the size, the rates of growth, and the specialized financing of these
programs, policy analysts frequently wish to identify these activities
separately from all other Federal taxes and spending. As discussed in the
introductory notes, the two social security funds are off-budget, while
the medicare funds are on-budget. As Table 13.1 shows, the first of these
funds (OASI) began in 1937. The table shows the annual transactions of
that fund and of the other funds beginning with their points of origin.
The table provides detailed information about social security and medicare
by fund. It shows total cash income (including offsetting receipts) by
fund, separately identifying social insurance taxes and contributions,
intragovernmental income, and proprietary receipts from the public. Virtually
all of the proprietary receipts from the public, especially those for the
supplementary medical insurance trust fund, are medicare insurance premiums.
The table shows the income, outgo, and surplus or deficit of each fund
for each year, and also shows the balances of the funds available for future
requirements. Most of these fund balances are invested in public debt securities
and constitute a significant portion of the debt held by Government accounts
(see Table 7.1).
The SMI fund, which was established in 1967, is financed primarily by
payments from Federal funds and secondarily by medical insurance premiums
(proprietary receipts from the public). The other three trust funds are
financed primarily by social insurance taxes. The law establishing the
rate and base of these taxes allocates the tax receipts among the three
funds.
The table shows significant transfers by OASI and DI to the railroad
retirement social security equivalent account. These transfers are equal
to the additional amounts of money social security would have had to pay,
less additional receipts it would have collected, if the rail labor force
had been included directly under social security since the inception of
the social security program.
In 1983, when the OASI fund ran short of money, Congress passed legislation
that (a) provided for a one-time acceleration of military service credit
payments to these trust funds, (b) provided for a Federal fund payment
to OASDI for the estimated value of checks issued in prior years and charged
to the trust funds but never cashed, (c) required that the Treasury make
payments to OASDHI on the first day of the month for the estimated amounts
of their social insurance taxes to be collected over the course of each
month (thereby increasing each affected trust fund's balances at the beginning
of the month), and (d) subjected some social security benefits to Federal
income or other taxes and provided for payments by Federal funds to social
security of amounts equal to these additional taxes. Additionally, in 1983
the OASI fund borrowed from the DI and HI funds (the tables show the amounts
of such borrowing and repayments of borrowing). The large intragovernmental
collections by OASDHI in 1983 are a result of the transactions described
under (a) and (b) above. Also starting in 1983, OASI began paying interest
to DI and HI to reimburse them for the balances OASI borrowed from them;
OASDHI paid interest to Treasury to compensate it for the balances transferred
to these funds on the first day of each month. The legal requirement for
Treasury to make payments on the first day of the month, and the associated
interest payment, ended in 1985 for HI and in 1991 for OASI and DI.
Notes on Section 14 (Federal Sector Transactions in the National Income
and Product Accounts)
The principal system used in the United States for measuring total economic
activity is the system of national income and product accounts (NIPA),
which provide calculations of the GDP and related data series. These data
are produced by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) of the Department
of Commerce. As part of this work the BEA staff analyze the budget data
base and estimate transactions consistent with this measurement system.
The NIPA data are normally produced for calendar years and quarters. Section
14 provides Federal Sector NIPA data on a fiscal year basis.
Notes on Section 15 (Total (Federal and State and Local) Government Finances)
Section 15 provides a perspective on the size and composition of total
Government (Federal, State, and local) receipts and spending. Both the
Bureau of the Census and the Bureau of Economic Analysis in the Commerce
Department provide information (in the national income and product accounts
(NIPA) data) on income and spending for all levels of government in the
United States. These tables include the NIPA State and local transactions
with the Federal Government (deducting the amount of overlap due to Federal
grants to State and local governments) to measure total Government receipts
and spending on a fiscal year basis.
Notes on Section 16 (Federal Health Spending)
Section 16 consists of Table 16.1, Total Outlays for Health Programs. This
table shows a broad definition of total Federal health spending by type
of health program, including defense and veterans health programs, medicare,
medicaid, Federal employees' health benefits and other health spending.
It also shows Federal health spending as percentages of total outlays and
of GDP.
Notes on Section 17 (Federal Employment)
Section 17 provides an overview of the size and scope of the Federal work
force. The measures of Federal employment currently in use are end-strength
and full-time equivalents (FTEs). End-strength is the measure of total
positions filled at the end of the fiscal year, representing a "head count"
of all paid employees.
Federal employment in the Executive Branch, however, is controlled on
the basis of FTEs. Full-time equivalent (FTE) employment is the measure
of the total number of regular (non-overtime) hours worked by an employee
divided by the number of compensable hours applicable to each fiscal year.
A typical FTE workyear is equal to 2,080 hours. Put simply, one full-time
employee counts as one FTE, and two employees who work half-time count
as one FTE. FTE data have been collected for Executive Branch agencies
since 1981.
The tables included in this section illustrate the size of the governmental
work forces utilizing these measures. Table 17.1 shows the end-strength
of the Executive Branch and selected agencies starting in 1940. Table 17.2
shows the end-strength of the Executive Branch and selected agencies as
a percentage of total Executive Branch employment starting in 1940. Table
17.3 shows FTEs for the Executive Branch and selected agencies for 1981
and subsequent years; Table 17.4 shows these FTEs as a percentage of total
Executive Branch FTEs. Table 17.5 shows a comparison of the end-strengths
of Federal employment and State and local government employment, and the
total of the two as a percentage of the U.S. population in each year.
HISTORICAL TRENDS
Because the Historical Tables publication provides a large volume
and wide array of data on Federal Government finances, it is sometimes
difficult to perceive the longer term patterns in various budget aggregates
and components. To assist the reader in understanding some of these longer
term patterns, this section provides a short summary of the trends in Federal
deficits and surpluses, debt, receipts, outlays and employment.
Deficits and Debt.—As shown in Table 1.1, except for
periods of war (when spending for defense increased sharply), depressions
or other economic downturns (when receipts fell precipitously), the Federal
budget was generally in surplus throughout most of the Nation's first 200
years. For our first 60 years as a Nation (through 1849), cumulative budget
surpluses and deficits yielded a net surplus of $70 million. The Civil
War, along with the Spanish-American War and the depression of the 1890s,
resulted in a cumulative deficit totaling just under $1 billion during
the 1850–1900 period. Between 1901 and 1916, the budget hovered
very close to balance every year. World War I brought large deficits that
totaled $23 billion over the 1917–1919 period. The budget was
then in surplus throughout the 1920s. However, the combination of the Great
Depression followed by World War II resulted in a long, unbroken string
of deficits that were historically unprecedented in magnitude. As a result,
Federal debt held by the public mushroomed from less than $3 billion in
1917 to $16 billion in 1930 and then to $242 billion by 1946. In relation
to the size of the economy, debt held by the public grew from 16% of GDP
in 1930 to 109% in 1946.
During much of the postwar period, this same pattern persisted—large
deficits were incurred only in time of war (e.g., Korea and Vietnam) or
as a result of recessions. As shown in Table 1.2, prior to the 1980s, postwar
deficits as a percent of GDP reached their highest during the 1975–76
recession at 4.2% in 1976. Debt held by the public had grown to $477 billion
by 1976, but, because the economy had grown faster, debt as a percent of
GDP had declined throughout the postwar period to a low of 23.8% in 1974,
climbing back to 27.5% in 1976. Following five years of deficits averaging
2.5% of GDP between 1977-1981, debt held by the public stood at 25.8% of
GDP by 1981, only two percentage points higher than its postwar low.
The traditional pattern of running large deficits only in times of war
or economic downturns was broken during the rest of the 1980s. In 1982,
large tax cuts were enacted as were substantial increases in defense spending.
Reductions in nondefense spending were not sufficient to offset the impact
on the deficit. As a result, deficits averaging $207 billion were incurred
between 1983 and 1992. These unprecedented peacetime deficits increased
debt held by the public from $789 billion in 1981 to $3.0 trillion (48.2%
of GDP) in 1992.
Since peaking at $290 billion in 1992, deficits have declined each year,
dropping to a level of $22 billion in 1997. In 1998, the Nation recorded
its first budget surplus ($69.2 billion) since 1969. As a percent of GDP,
the budget bottom line went from a deficit of 4.7% in 1992 to a surplus
of 0.8% in 1998, increasing to a 2.4% surplus in 2000. In the second half
of calendar year 2000, an economic slowdown began and was exacerbated by
the terrorists attacks of September 11, 2001. The deterioration in the
performance of the economy, additional spending in response to the terrorist
attacks and an income tax "rebate" provided to help offset the economic
slowdown, together produced a drop in the surplus, to $127.1 billion (1.3%
of GDP). Correspondingly, debt held by the public, which peaked at 49.5%
of GDP in 1993, has fallen to 32.7% in 2001.
Receipts.— From the beginning of the Republic until
the start of the Civil War, our Nation relied on customs duties to finance
the activities of the Federal Government. During the 19th Century, sales
of public lands supplemented customs duties. While large amounts were occasionally
obtained from the sale of lands, customs duties accounted for over 90%
of Federal receipts in most years prior to the Civil War. Excise taxes
became an important and growing source of Federal receipts starting in
the 1860s. Estate and gift taxes were levied and collected sporadically
from the 1860s through World War I, although never amounting to a significant
source of receipts during that time. Prior to 1913, income taxes did not
exist or were inconsequential, other than for a brief time during the Civil
War period, when special tax legislation raised the income tax share of
Federal receipts to as much as 13% in 1866. Subsequent to the enactment
of income tax legislation in 1913, these taxes grew in importance as a
Federal receipts source during following decade. By 1930, the Federal Government
was relying on income taxes for 60% of its receipts, while customs duties
and excise taxes each accounted for 15% of the receipts total.
During the 1930s, total Federal receipts averaged about 5% of GDP. World
War II brought a dramatic increase in receipts, with the Federal receipts
share of GDP peaking at 20.9% in 1944. The share declined somewhat after
the war and has remained between 16% - 20% of GDP during the past four
decades. In recent years, receipts have increased as a share of GDP —
from 17.5% in 1992 to 20.8% in 2000, dropping off to 19.6% in 2001. There
have been some significant shifts during the post-war period in the underlying
sources or composition of receipts.
The increase in taxes needed to support the war effort in the 1940s
saw the income tax rise to prominence as a source of Federal receipts,
reaching nearly 80% of total receipts in 1944. After the war, the income
tax share of total receipts fell from a postwar high of 74% in 1952 to
64% in the late 1960s. The growth in social insurance taxes (such as social
security and medicare) more than offset a postwar secular decline in excise
and other non-income tax shares. The combination of substantial reductions
in income taxes enacted in the early 1980s and the continued growth in
social insurance taxes resulted in a continued decline in the income tax
share of total receipts. By 1983 income taxes had dropped to 54% of total
receipts, where it remained until the mid-1990s. Since 1994, the income
tax share of total receipts has increased, reaching 60% in 2000, before
falling back to 57% in 2001.
Corporation income taxes accounted for a large part of this postwar
decline in total income tax share, falling from 30% of total Federal receipts
in the early 1950s to 20% in 1969. During the same period, pretax corporate
profits fell from about 12% of GDP in the early 1950s to 10% in 1968. By
1980 the corporation income tax share of total receipts had dropped to
12.5%. During the 1980s, pretax corporate profits declined as a percent
of GDP and, thus, the corporation income tax share dropped to a low of
6.2% in 1983 By 1996, the share had climbed back to 11.8%. It dropped back
to 10.2% by 2000, which is still below the 1980 share. The economic slowdown
during 2001 depressed corporate profits and, together with a delay in the
due date for September corporate tax payments, resulted in a drop in the
coporate tax share of Federal receipts to 7.6% in 2001. This sharp drop
in corporation income tax share of total receipts was more than offset
by the growth in social insurance taxes, as both tax rates and percentage
of the workforce covered by these payroll taxes increased. Social insurance
taxes increased from only 8% of total receipts during the mid-1940s to
38% by 1992, but declined to 32% by 2000 then rose to 35% in 2001. Excise
taxes have also declined in relative importance during the postwar period,
falling from a 19% share in 1950 to slightly over 3% currently.
Outlays and Federal employment.—Throughout most of
the Nation's history prior to the 1930s, the bulk of Federal spending went
towards national defense, veterans benefits and interest on the public
debt. In 1929, for example, 71% of Federal outlays were in these three
categories. The 1930s began with Federal outlays comprising just 3.4% of
GDP. As shown in Table 1.2, the efforts to fight the Great Depression with
public works and other nondefense Federal spending, when combined with
the depressed GDP levels, caused outlays and their share of GDP to increase
steadily during most of that decade, with outlays rising to 10.3% of GDP
by 1939 and to 12.0% by 1941 on the eve of U.S. involvement in World War
II. Defense spending during World War II resulted in outlays as a percent
of GDP rising sharply, to a peak of 43.7% in 1944. The end of the war brought
total spending down to 14.3% of GDP by 1949. Then the Korean war increased
spending to an average 19.5% of GDP for a few years in the early 1950s,
but outlays as a percent of GDP then stabilized at around 17–19%
until U.S. involvement in the Vietnam war escalated sharply in the middle
1960s and early 1970s. From 1967 through 1971, Federal outlays averaged
19.6% of GDP. The decline in defense spending as a percent of GDP that
began in 1971, as the Vietnam War began to wind down, was more than offset
by increased spending on human resources programs during the 1970s—due
to the maturation of the social security program and other longstanding
income support programs, as well as a takeoff in spending on the recently
enacted Great Society programs, such as medicare and medicaid—so
that total spending increased as a percent of GDP, averaging 20.0% during
the 1970s. Part of the increase in Federal spending came from a substantial
increase in grants to State and local governments during the 1970s. Since
receipts were averaging 18% of GDP during that decade, the result was chronic
deficits averaging 2% of GDP (contributing to this was the recession of
1975–76, which saw deficits increase to 4.2% in 1976).
The 1980s began with substantial momentum in the growth of Federal nondefense
spending in the areas of human resources, grants to State and local governments,
and, as a result of the deficits incurred throughout the 1970s, interest
on the public debt. In the early 1980s, a combination of substantially
increased defense spending, continued growth in human resource spending,
a tax cut and a recession caused the deficits to soar, which, in turn,
sharply increased spending for interest on the public debt. Federal spending
climbed to an average of nearly 23% of GDP during the 1981-1985 period.
An end to the rapid defense buildup and a partial reversal of the tax cuts
(which produced interest outlay savings), along with a strong economy during
the second half of the decade, brought Federal spending back down to 21.2%
of GDP by 1989. In the early 1990s, another recession, in the face of continued
rapid growth in Federal health care spending and additional spending resulting
from the Savings and Loan crisis, caused the outlay share of GDP to average
over 22.2% in 1991 and 1992. Since then, this outlay growth trend was reversed.
Outlays as a percent of GDP have fallen each year, dropping to 18.4% in
2000 and 2001. This outlay share was last recorded in the mid-1960s.
Despite the growth in total Federal spending as a percent of GDP in
the postwar period, Federal employment, as shown in Table 17.1, has remained
roughly constant, ranging from 1.6 to 2.3 million civilian employees (excluding
the Postal Service) throughout this period. The composition of employment
has shifted dramatically between defense and civilian agencies over the
last 35 years. In 1951, for example, of the 2.0 million employees, 1.2
million worked for the Department of Defense and 0.7 million worked for
civilian agencies. By 1974, Federal employment was split equally between
defense and civilian agencies, with each accounting for 1.1 million employees.
After a buildup in defense civilian employment in the 1980s, the shift
away from defense to civilian agency employment resumed in the 1990s, so
that by 1999 civilian agency employment was 1.2 million and Department
of Defense employment was 0.7 million, nearly the reverse of the proportions
in 1951. During the past several years total Federal employment has begun
to decline. Since 1992, when there were over 2.2 million civilians employed
by the Federal Government, employment has been reduced by over 400 thousand,
bringing Federal employment down to 1.8 million in 2001.
Although total spending has increased substantially as a percent of
GDP since the 1950s, the growth in the various components of spending has
not been even and, thus, the composition of spending has changed significantly
during the same period.
Discretionary spending totaled 12.7% of GDP in 1962, with three-fourths
going to defense. Defense spending increased during the Vietnam War buildup
in the late 1960s causing total discretionary outlays to rise to 13.6%
of GDP by 1968, after which a secular decline began. By the middle 1970s,
this category had dropped to 10% of GDP. It fluctuated between 9\1/2\–10\1/2\%
of GDP until the late 1980's, when the defense buildup that started early
in that decade ended. As a percent of GDP, discretionary spending has fallen
sharply over the past decade, from 9.0% in 1989 to 6.5% in 2001. While
discretionary spending has followed a path of secular decline over the
past 25 years, its major components—defense and nondefense—have
contrasting histories.
Defense discretionary spending was at 9.2% of GDP in 1962. As shown
in Table 8.4, spending in this category had declined to 7.4% of GDP by
1965, then increased as a result of the Vietnam War. After peaking at 9.5%
of GDP in 1968, it returned to the 1965 level by 1971. The decline continued
throughout the 1970s, hitting a low point in this decade of 4.7% of GDP
in 1979. The defense buildup starting in the early 1980s boosted its percentage
of GDP back to 6.2% by 1986, after which it again began a gradual decline
throughout the rest of that decade. By 2000, and again in 2001, defense
discretionary spending stood at 3.0% of GDP, reflecting the impact of the
end of the Cold War on our Nation's defense requirements and the significant
economic growth during much of the 1990s. The current war against terrorism
is expected to partially reverse this decline.
Nondefense discretionary spending as a percent of GDP has followed a
much different path. In 1962, it stood at 3.4% of GDP. During the next
few years it quickly increased, reaching 4.2% of GDP by 1967. It dropped
slightly after that year, but still averaged about 4.0% of GDP until 1975,
when it surged to 4.5% of GDP due to the recession and partly due to growth
in spending on energy, the environment, housing and other income support
programs. Much of this growth was in the form of Federal grants to State
and local governments. Additional grant spending arose from the creation
of General Revenue Sharing in 1972 and various anti-recession grants at
the end of the decade. Nondefense discretionary outlays peaked as a percent
of GDP during the recession in 1980 at 5.2%. They declined sharply as a
percent of GDP starting in 1982, falling to 3.9% by 1985 and to 3.5% during
the 1987–1991 period. Spending for these programs has increased
slightly as a percent of GDP, climbing to 3.8% by 1993 before falling back
in subsequent years, reaching a low of 3.2% in 1998 and 1999.
Programmatic mandatory spending (which excludes net interest and undistributed
offsetting receipts) accounts for a large part of the growth in total Federal
spending as a percent of GDP since the 1950s. Major programs in this category
include social security, medicare, deposit insurance and means-tested entitlements
(medicaid, aid to dependent children, food stamps and other programs subject
to an income test). Prior to the start of medicare and medicaid in 1966,
this category averaged 5.7% of GDP between 1962 and 1965 (less than half
the size of total discretionary spending), with social security accounting
for nearly half. Within a decade, this category was comparable in size
to total discretionary spending, nearly doubling as a percent of GDP to
10.6% by 1976 (1.1% of which was for unemployment compensation that year).
Although part of this growth represented the impact of the 1975–76
recession on GDP levels and outlays for unemployment compensation, the
largest part was due to growth in social security, medicare and medicaid.
These three programs totaled 3.4% of GDP in 1968 and grew rapidly to 5.5%
of GDP by 1976. While social security stabilized as a percent of GDP during
1985–1997, ranging from 4.3% to 4.6%, the growth in other programmatic
mandatory spending has continued to outpace the growth in GDP since the
mid-1970s (apart from recession recovery periods) due largely to medicare
and medicaid. These two programs, which were 1.2% of GDP in 1975, have
more than doubled as a percent of GDP since then, reaching 3.5% in 1997,
dropping slightly to 3.2% in 1999 and 2000, before rising to 3.4% in 2001.
Excluding medicaid, spending for means-tested entitlements in 2001 was
at 1.1% percent of GDP, less than it was twenty-five years ago in 1975.
By way of contrast, the remaining programmaticmandatory spending—
i.e, excluding medicare, unemployment compensation, social security, deposit
insurance and means-tested entitlements—has been more than halved
as a percent of GDP, falling from 3.2% in 1975 to 1.5% in 1999 and 2000
and to 1.4% in 2001. (Major programs in this grouping include Federal employee
and railroad retirement, farm price supports and veterans' compensation
and readjustment benefits.) Nevertheless, total programmatic mandatory
spending in 2001 was still 10.4% of GDP compared to 6.5% for total discretionary
spending.
Additional perspectives on spending trends available in this document
include spending by agency, by function and subfunction and by composition
of outlays categories, which include payments for individuals and grants
to State and local governments.
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