SUMMARY TABLES
Table 7. BUDGET TOTALS
|
| |
2002 Actual |
Estimate
|
| 2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
|
| In billions of dollars: |
| Receipts |
1,853 |
1,756 |
1,797 |
2,033 |
2,215 |
2,360 |
2,480 |
| Outlays |
2,011 |
2,212 |
2,272 |
2,338 |
2,452 |
2,573 |
2,706 |
|
|
| Deficit |
-158 |
-455 |
-475 |
-304 |
-238 |
-213 |
-226 |
| Gross Domestic Product (GDP) |
10,337 |
10,746 |
11,266 |
11,829 |
12,413 |
13,024 |
13,671 |
| As a percent of GDP: |
| Receipts |
17.9 |
16.3 |
16.0 |
17.2 |
17.8 |
18.1 |
18.1 |
| Outlays |
19.5 |
20.6 |
20.2 |
19.8 |
19.8 |
19.8 |
19.8 |
|
|
| Deficit |
-1.5 |
-4.2 |
-4.2 |
-2.6 |
-1.9 |
-1.6 |
-1.7 |
|
Table 8. BUDGET SUMMARY BY CATEGORY (In billions of dollars)
|
| |
2002 Actual |
Estimate
|
| 2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
|
| Outlays: |
| Discretionary: |
| Defense (050) |
349 |
425 |
409 |
412 |
424 |
437 |
460 |
| Nondefense |
385 |
434 |
439 |
445 |
450 |
457 |
461 |
|
|
| Total, Discretionary |
734 |
858 |
848 |
857 |
874 |
894 |
922 |
| Mandatory: |
| Social Security |
452 |
471 |
492 |
512 |
533 |
556 |
584 |
| Medicare |
228 |
244 |
259 |
277 |
309 |
334 |
357 |
| Medicaid and SCHIP |
151 |
168 |
187 |
194 |
211 |
229 |
249 |
| Other |
275 |
313 |
321 |
312 |
314 |
321 |
335 |
|
|
| Total, Mandatory |
1,106 |
1,197 |
1,260 |
1,295 |
1,366 |
1,440 |
1,524 |
| Net interest |
171 |
156 |
165 |
185 |
212 |
238 |
260 |
|
|
| Total, Outlays |
2,011 |
2,212 |
2,272 |
2,338 |
2,452 |
2,573 |
2,706 |
| Receipts |
1,853 |
1,756 |
1,797 |
2,033 |
2,215 |
2,360 |
2,480 |
|
|
| Deficit |
-158 |
-455 |
-475 |
-304 |
-238 |
-213 |
-226 |
| On-budget deficit |
-317 |
-615 |
-639 |
-490 |
-441 |
-435 |
-464 |
| Off-budget surplus |
160 |
159 |
164 |
186 |
203 |
222 |
238 |
|
Table 9. IMPACT OF BUDGET POLICY (In billions of dollars)
|
| |
Estimate
|
| 2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2004–2008 |
|
| Current baseline deficit |
-455 |
-458 |
-241 |
-110 |
-78 |
-62 |
-949 |
| Budget proposals: |
| Defense and homeland security |
.......... |
-8 |
-19 |
-26 |
-29 |
-43 |
-125 |
| Extension of expiring tax provisions |
* |
-2 |
-26 |
-50 |
-35 |
-35 |
-150 |
| Strengthening Medicare |
.......... |
-6 |
-10 |
-33 |
-38 |
-43 |
-130 |
| Incentives for charitable giving |
-* |
-3 |
-2 |
-2 |
-2 |
-2 |
-11 |
| Health tax credits |
.......... |
-* |
-3 |
-6 |
-8 |
-8 |
-24 |
| Other proposals |
-* |
2 |
-1 |
-5 |
-11 |
-14 |
-29 |
| Related debt service |
-* |
-* |
-1 |
-5 |
-12 |
-19 |
-37 |
|
|
| Subtotal, budget proposals |
-1 |
-17 |
-63 |
-127 |
-135 |
-164 |
-506 |
| Budget deficit |
-455 |
-475 |
-304 |
-238 |
-213 |
-226 |
-1,455 |
| * $500 million or less.
|
|
Table 10. DISCRETIONARY TOTALS (Budget authority; dollar amounts in billions)
|
| |
2002 Actual |
2003 Enacted |
2004 Estimate |
Change: 2003–2004
|
| Dollar |
Percent |
|
| Discretionary budget authority: |
| Homeland Security (nondefense) |
13 |
23 |
28 |
5 |
20.3% |
| Department of Defense |
328 |
365 |
380 |
15 |
4.2% |
| Other Operations of Government |
351 |
367 |
374 |
7 |
2.0% |
|
|
| Total, Discretionary budget authority |
691 |
755 |
782 |
27 |
3.6% |
|
|
| |
2004 Estimate |
2005 Estimate |
Change: 2004–2005
|
| Dollar |
Percent |
|
| Total, Discretionary budget authority |
782 |
813 |
31 |
4.0% |
|
| Assumptions: |
| All totals include mass transit budget authority. |
| 2002: $686 billion enacted discretionary funding adjusted for $5 billion in technical reestimates. In addition, $44 billion was provided in Supplemental Acts, $29 billion for recurring purposes. |
| 2003: Excludes $79 billion that was provided in a Supplemental Act for the Iraq War and $10 billion that was provided in the Omnibus Appropriations Act as a Defense war reserve. Also excludes $1.9 billion in requested supplemental funding for disaster relief and other emergency activities. |
| 2004: Excludes $211 million that was provided in the 2003 Supplemental Act. |
Table 11. HOMELAND SECURITY FUNDING BY AGENCY (Budget authority in millions of dollars)
|
| |
2002
|
2003
|
2004 Estimate |
| Enacted |
Supplemental |
Enacted |
Supplemental |
|
| Nondefense Homeland Security Funding: |
| Department of Agriculture |
230 |
322 |
385 |
110 |
370 |
| Department of Commerce |
99 |
19 |
111 |
.......... |
153 |
| Department of Energy |
1,067 |
153 |
1,251 |
167 |
1,361 |
| Department of Health and Human Services |
433 |
1,480 |
3,603 |
142 |
3,776 |
| Department of Homeland Security |
11,398 |
5,982 |
19,067 |
4,315 |
1 23,890 |
| Department of Justice |
1,019 |
1,125 |
1,981 |
457 |
2,290 |
| Department of State |
438 |
39 |
633 |
.......... |
811 |
| Department of the Treasury |
84 |
32 |
80 |
.......... |
91 |
| Department of Transportation |
635 |
785 |
382 |
.......... |
284 |
| Department of Veterans Affairs |
47 |
2 |
147 |
.......... |
145 |
| Corps of Engineers |
.......... |
139 |
36 |
39 |
104 |
| Environmental Protection Agency |
13 |
174 |
107 |
.......... |
124 |
| Social Security Administration |
113 |
8 |
132 |
.......... |
147 |
| National Aeronautics and Space Administration |
114 |
109 |
163 |
.......... |
170 |
| National Science Foundation |
240 |
19 |
285 |
.......... |
307 |
| Postal Service |
.......... |
587 |
| Other Agencies |
267 |
556 |
516 |
25 |
591 |
|
|
| Total, Nondefense Homeland Security Funding |
16,197 |
11,531 |
28,879 |
5,255 |
34,614 |
| Department of Defense-Military |
4,423 |
733 |
8,866 |
.......... |
2 6,717 |
|
|
| Total, Homeland Security Funding, including Defense |
20,620 |
12,264 |
37,745 |
5,255 |
41,331 |
|
| Total, Homeland Security, including Defense |
20,620 |
12,264 |
37,745 |
5,255 |
41,331 |
| Less Mandatory Homeland Security Funding 3 |
-1,656 |
.......... |
-2,003 |
.......... |
-2,874 |
| Less Discretionary Fee-Funded Activities 4 |
-1,828 |
.......... |
-3,410 |
626 |
1 -3,501 |
| Less Department of Defense-Military |
-4,423 |
-733 |
-8,866 |
.......... |
-6,717 |
|
|
| Net Nondefense Discretionary Homeland Security Budget Authority |
12,713 |
11,531 |
23,466 |
5,881 |
28,239 |
| 1 Excludes $211 million in foregone TSA fees resulting from action in the 2003 Supplemental, but which are scored as lost revenue in 2004.
2 Defense homeland security funding falls in 2004 due to one-time force-protection investments in 2003.
3 Mandatory homeland security programs include Agriculture Quarantine and Inspections, Border Protection, and Immigration Enforcement.
4 Discretionary fee-funded homeland security programs include Visa Processing, Airport Security, and Social Security physical and computer security measures.
|
|
Table 12. MANDATORY PROPOSALS (In millions of dollars)
|
| |
Estimate
|
| 2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2004–2008 |
2004–2013 |
|
| Medicare Modernization |
.......... |
6,000 |
10,000 |
33,000 |
38,000 |
43,000 |
130,000 |
400,000 |
| Medicaid/State Children's Health Insurance Program (SCHIP): |
| Medicaid/SCHIP Reform |
.......... |
3,258 |
1,053 |
1,664 |
1,213 |
1,756 |
8,944 |
-66 |
| Disability/New Freedom Initiatives |
.......... |
180 |
184 |
197 |
212 |
221 |
993 |
1,338 |
| Medicaid Rebate Reform |
.......... |
-384 |
-432 |
-481 |
-531 |
-581 |
-2,409 |
-6,421 |
| Other Medicaid Proposals |
.......... |
359 |
579 |
426 |
437 |
457 |
2,257 |
2,687 |
|
|
| Subtotal, Medicaid/SCHIP |
.......... |
3,412 |
1,384 |
1,805 |
1,330 |
1,854 |
9,786 |
-2,462 |
| Welfare Reform: |
| Temporary Assistance for Needy Families Reauthorization |
-93 |
115 |
304 |
334 |
325 |
324 |
1,403 |
3,031 |
| Child Support Enforcement: Increase Collections and Improve Program Effectiveness |
.......... |
-61 |
-47 |
10 |
51 |
48 |
2 |
221 |
| Child Welfare Program Option |
.......... |
31 |
88 |
127 |
-13 |
-205 |
28 |
40 |
| Extend Abstinence Education |
.......... |
14 |
37 |
42 |
47 |
36 |
176 |
200 |
|
|
| Subtotal, Welfare Reform |
-93 |
99 |
382 |
514 |
410 |
204 |
1,609 |
3,492 |
| Other Proposals: |
| Agriculture: |
| Limit Conservation Security Program |
.......... |
.......... |
-215 |
-332 |
-447 |
-603 |
-1,597 |
-5,200 |
| Forest Service Recreation Fee Proposal |
.......... |
.......... |
-17 |
-12 |
-7 |
-2 |
-38 |
22 |
| School Lunch: Require Third-Party Verification of Income and Reinvest Program Savings |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
|
|
| Subtotal, Agriculture |
.......... |
.......... |
-232 |
-344 |
-454 |
-605 |
-1,635 |
-5,178 |
| Education: |
| Teacher Loan Forgiveness |
.......... |
178 |
47 |
50 |
54 |
55 |
384 |
696 |
| Energy: |
| Power Marketing Associations to directly fund Corps of Engineers' operations and maintenance expenses |
149 |
145 |
148 |
151 |
154 |
158 |
756 |
1,603 |
| Arctic National Wildlife Refuge (ANWR), Lease Bonuses |
.......... |
.......... |
-1,200 |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
-1,200 |
-1,200 |
|
|
| Subtotal, Energy |
149 |
145 |
-1,052 |
151 |
154 |
158 |
-444 |
403 |
| Homeland Security: |
| Extend Bureau of Customs and Border Protection User Fees |
.......... |
-1,398 |
-1,490 |
-1,588 |
-1,692 |
-1,804 |
-7,972 |
-18,939 |
| Vaccine Biodefense |
.......... |
575 |
840 |
790 |
635 |
578 |
3,418 |
5,593 |
|
|
| Subtotal, Homeland Security |
.......... |
-823 |
-650 |
-798 |
-1,057 |
-1,226 |
-4,554 |
-13,346 |
| Interior: |
| ANWR, Lease Bonuses: |
| State of Alaska's Share: |
| Receipts |
.......... |
.......... |
-1,201 |
-1 |
-101 |
-1 |
-1,304 |
-1,588 |
| Expenditure |
.......... |
.......... |
1,201 |
1 |
101 |
1 |
1,304 |
1,588 |
| Federal Share |
.......... |
.......... |
-1 |
-1 |
-101 |
-1 |
-104 |
-388 |
| Compact of Free Association—financial assistance |
.......... |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
105 |
235 |
| Permanent Recreation Fee Authority |
.......... |
.......... |
-11 |
14 |
49 |
90 |
142 |
602 |
| Correct trust accounting deficiencies in individual Indian money investments |
7 |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
| Increase Indian Gaming Commission Fees 1 |
.......... |
.......... |
3 |
4 |
4 |
5 |
16 |
41 |
| Bureau of Land Management Land Sale Authority: |
| Receipts |
.......... |
-10 |
-25 |
-34 |
-42 |
-50 |
-161 |
-444 |
| Expenditure |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
10 |
25 |
34 |
69 |
337 |
|
|
| Subtotal, Interior |
7 |
9 |
-14 |
14 |
-43 |
101 |
67 |
383 |
| Labor: |
| Personal Re-employment Accounts |
800 |
2,800 |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
2,800 |
2,800 |
| Reform Unemployment Insurance Administration |
.......... |
-11 |
5 |
-17 |
792 |
1,724 |
2,493 |
16,469 |
| Reform Federal Employees Compensation Act |
.......... |
-10 |
-17 |
-16 |
-9 |
-8 |
-60 |
-130 |
| Refinance Black Lung Disability Trust Fund Debt: |
| Black Lung Disability Trust Fund |
.......... |
1,851 |
-444 |
-433 |
-429 |
-423 |
122 |
-1,913 |
| Interest Receipts on Repayable Advances |
.......... |
-1,851 |
444 |
433 |
429 |
423 |
-122 |
1,913 |
|
|
| Subtotal, Labor |
800 |
2,779 |
-12 |
-33 |
783 |
1,716 |
5,233 |
19,139 |
| Transportation: |
| Federal-aid Highway Program: Increase Emergency Relief |
.......... |
27 |
68 |
84 |
94 |
100 |
373 |
873 |
| Treasury: |
| Pay financial institutions for their services in lieu of providing compensating balances: |
| Financial Agent Reimbursement Fund |
.......... |
386 |
396 |
400 |
408 |
416 |
2,006 |
4,169 |
| Interest on Treasury Debt Securities |
.......... |
-415 |
-405 |
-405 |
-405 |
-405 |
-2,035 |
-4,185 |
|
|
| Subtotal, compensating balances |
.......... |
-29 |
-9 |
-5 |
3 |
11 |
-29 |
-16 |
| Internal Revenue Service Collection Contractor Support |
.......... |
2 |
96 |
146 |
146 |
146 |
536 |
1,266 |
| Move Asset Forfeiture Fund to the Department of Justice: |
| Treasury Asset Forfeiture Fund |
.......... |
-221 |
-221 |
-221 |
-221 |
-221 |
-1,105 |
-2,210 |
| Justice Asset Forfeiture Fund |
.......... |
221 |
221 |
221 |
221 |
221 |
1,105 |
2,210 |
| Extend the Rum Carryover for Puerto Rico |
.......... |
57 |
78 |
19 |
.......... |
.......... |
154 |
154 |
| Outlay Effects of Refundable Tax Credits: 1 |
| Child Tax Credit |
.......... |
35 |
35 |
4,080 |
3,969 |
3,882 |
12,001 |
37,980 |
| Earned Income Tax Credit |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
3,292 |
| Education Credit |
.......... |
185 |
464 |
602 |
668 |
740 |
2,659 |
3,054 |
| Health Credit |
.......... |
2 |
2,345 |
5,509 |
7,100 |
7,431 |
22,387 |
67,104 |
|
|
| Subtotal, refundable tax credits |
.......... |
222 |
2,844 |
10,191 |
11,737 |
12,053 |
37,047 |
111,430 |
|
|
| Subtotal, Treasury |
.......... |
252 |
3,009 |
10,351 |
11,886 |
12,210 |
37,708 |
112,834 |
| Veterans Affairs: |
| Reverse Allen Case providing compensation for drug and alcohol abuse related disabilities |
.......... |
-47 |
-135 |
-201 |
-242 |
-264 |
-888 |
-2,424 |
| Payment of full compensation to New Philippine Scouts and DIC survivors of Filipino veterans if they reside in the United States |
.......... |
3 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
5 |
19 |
46 |
| Eliminate the "45 Day Rule" for Death Pension |
.......... |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
6 |
13 |
| Revision to Montgomery G.I. Bill to Provide for On-the-Job Training in Self-Employment |
.......... |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
2 |
4 |
| Retroactivity for Second Headstone or Marker Benefit |
.......... |
5 |
3 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
13 |
13 |
| Allow states to receive a burial plot allowance for all veterans buried at no cost in state veterans cemeteries |
.......... |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
2 |
4 |
| Alternate Beneficiary to Claim National Service Life Insurance and Veterans Special Life Insurance Policy Proceeds |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
6 |
5 |
4 |
15 |
17 |
| Amend the law to provide the same extension of time for using education benefits for members of the National Guard |
.......... |
* |
* |
* |
1 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
| Move Transitional Housing Program from a mandatory loan to a discretionary grant program |
.......... |
-5 |
-10 |
-10 |
-10 |
-5 |
-40 |
-40 |
|
|
| Subtotal, Veterans Affairs |
.......... |
-43 |
-137 |
-197 |
-239 |
-258 |
-869 |
-2,362 |
| Federal Communications Commission (FCC): |
| Analog Spectrum Lease Fee |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
-500 |
-500 |
-1,000 |
-2,530 |
| Extend Spectrum Auction Authority and Authorize Other Economic Mechanisms (Fees) |
.......... |
.......... |
-10 |
-25 |
1,950 |
1,900 |
3,815 |
-4,060 |
|
|
| Subtotal, FCC |
.......... |
.......... |
-10 |
-25 |
1,450 |
1,400 |
2,815 |
-6,590 |
| Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation: |
| Merge Bank Insurance Fund and Savings Association Insurance Fund |
.......... |
420 |
1,048 |
-34 |
-38 |
-12 |
1,384 |
1,494 |
| Office of Personnel Management: |
| Simplify computation of annuities under the Civil Service Retirement System for part-time service |
.......... |
3 |
8 |
14 |
20 |
27 |
72 |
313 |
| Social Security Administration (SSA): |
| Close Loophole that Allows Some Workers to Avoid Government Pension Offset |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
-5 |
-5 |
-10 |
-20 |
-90 |
| Reduce Improper Payments by Requiring Reporting of Non-Social Security Covered Pension Income |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
-195 |
-295 |
-260 |
-750 |
-2,180 |
| Compensation for 2000–01 Military Wage Credits: |
| On-budget |
.......... |
730 |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
730 |
730 |
| Off-budget |
.......... |
-730 |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
-730 |
-730 |
| Supplemental Security Income Pre-Effectuation Reviews and Other Technical Adjustments |
.......... |
.......... |
-16 |
-36 |
-57 |
-85 |
-194 |
-1,062 |
|
|
| Subtotal, SSA |
.......... |
.......... |
-16 |
-236 |
-357 |
-355 |
-964 |
-3,332 |
| Multi-Agency: |
| Spectrum Relocation Fund |
.......... |
.......... |
200 |
400 |
500 |
600 |
1,700 |
2,500 |
| Indirect Impact of Other Proposals (Third Scorecard): |
| Medicare Program Management User Fee Effects on Supplemental Medical Insurance Premiums |
.......... |
.......... |
35 |
12 |
.......... |
.......... |
47 |
298 |
| Other |
.......... |
-2 |
-2 |
-7 |
-7 |
-6 |
-24 |
-52 |
| Total, Mandatory Proposals |
863 |
12,456 |
14,056 |
44,721 |
52,486 |
58,963 |
182,687 |
509,103 |
| Total, Excluding Medicare Modernization |
863 |
6,456 |
4,056 |
11,721 |
14,486 |
15,963 |
52,687 |
109,103 |
| 1 Affects both receipts and outlays. Only the outlay effect is shown here.
* $500,000 or less.
|
|
Table 13. RECEIPTS PROPOSALS (In millions of dollars)
|
| |
Estimate
|
| 2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2004–08 |
2004–13 |
|
| Expiring Provisions: |
| Extend certain provisions of the 2003 jobs and growth tax cut: |
| Temporarily extend through 2010: |
| 10–percent individual income tax rate bracket |
.......... |
.......... |
-3,900 |
-5,848 |
-6,296 |
-4,043 |
-20,087 |
-27,012 |
| Marriage penalty relief |
.......... |
.......... |
-5,374 |
-6,610 |
-3,733 |
-1,795 |
-17,512 |
-17,947 |
| Child tax credit 1 |
.......... |
.......... |
-2,139 |
-8,797 |
-8,830 |
-8,809 |
-28,575 |
-41,057 |
| Permanently extend: |
| Expensing for small business |
.......... |
.......... |
226 |
-3,336 |
-5,711 |
-4,102 |
-12,923 |
-23,742 |
| Dividends tax rate structure |
98 |
429 |
340 |
344 |
354 |
528 |
1,995 |
-57,523 |
| Capital gains tax rate structure |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
-5,195 |
-5,195 |
-44,032 |
|
|
| Total extend certain provisions of the 2003 jobs and growth tax cut |
98 |
429 |
-10,847 |
-24,247 |
-24,216 |
-23,416 |
-82,297 |
-211,313 |
| Permanently extend provisions expiring in 2010: |
| Marginal individual income tax rate reductions |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
-273,225 |
| Child tax credit 2 |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
-48,837 |
| Marriage penalty relief 3 |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
-22,587 |
| Education incentives |
-1 |
-2 |
-5 |
-7 |
-10 |
-13 |
-37 |
-4,381 |
| Repeal of estate and generation-skipping transfer taxes, and modification of gift taxes |
50 |
-297 |
-680 |
-1,122 |
-1,267 |
-1,316 |
-4,682 |
-117,176 |
| Modifications of pension plans |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
-1,301 |
| Other incentives for families and children |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
-2,350 |
|
|
| Total permanently extend provisions expiring in 2010 |
49 |
-299 |
-685 |
-1,129 |
-1,277 |
-1,329 |
-4,719 |
-469,857 |
| Extend other expiring provisions: |
| Combined work opportunity/welfare-to-work tax credit |
.......... |
-52 |
-191 |
-255 |
-172 |
-91 |
-761 |
-830 |
| Minimum tax relief for individuals |
.......... |
-100 |
-10,451 |
-15,452 |
.......... |
.......... |
-26,003 |
-26,003 |
| DC tax incentives |
.......... |
-43 |
-95 |
-53 |
-8 |
-7 |
-206 |
-348 |
| Authority to issue Qualified Zone Academy Bonds |
.......... |
-2 |
-9 |
-15 |
-22 |
-28 |
-76 |
-226 |
| Deduction for corporate donations of computer technology |
.......... |
-74 |
-127 |
-52 |
.......... |
.......... |
-253 |
-253 |
| Net operating loss offset of 100 percent of alternative minimum taxable income |
-82 |
-1,183 |
-721 |
-96 |
194 |
147 |
-1,659 |
-1,174 |
| IRS user fees |
.......... |
68 |
81 |
6 |
.......... |
.......... |
155 |
155 |
| Abandoned mine reclamation fees |
.......... |
.......... |
308 |
313 |
319 |
325 |
1,265 |
2,978 |
| Research & Experimentation (R&E) tax credit |
.......... |
-1,005 |
-3,278 |
-5,187 |
-6,291 |
-7,129 |
-22,890 |
-67,922 |
| Suspension of disallowance of certain deductions of mutual life insurance companies |
.......... |
-93 |
-103 |
-48 |
-33 |
-18 |
-295 |
-459 |
|
|
| Total extend other expiring provisions |
-82 |
-2,484 |
-14,586 |
-20,839 |
-6,013 |
-6,801 |
-50,723 |
-94,082 |
|
|
| Total expiring provisions |
65 |
-2,354 |
-26,118 |
-46,215 |
-31,506 |
-31,546 |
-137,739 |
-775,252 |
| Tax Incentives: |
| Provide incentives for charitable giving: |
| Provide charitable contribution deduction for nonitemizers |
-180 |
-1,358 |
-1,062 |
-1,103 |
-1,111 |
-1,144 |
-5,778 |
-11,901 |
| Permit tax-free withdrawals from IRAs for charitable contributions |
-116 |
-770 |
-625 |
-619 |
-601 |
-607 |
-3,222 |
-6,275 |
| Expand and increase the enhanced charitable deduction for contributions of food inventory |
-34 |
-71 |
-78 |
-86 |
-95 |
-104 |
-434 |
-1,129 |
| Reform excise tax based on investment income of private foundations |
-18 |
-296 |
-191 |
-192 |
-197 |
-205 |
-1,081 |
-2,342 |
| Modify tax on unrelated business taxable income of charitable remainder trusts |
-1 |
-3 |
-4 |
-4 |
-4 |
-4 |
-19 |
-51 |
| Modify basis adjustment to stock of S corporations contributing appreciated property |
.......... |
-10 |
-9 |
-12 |
-15 |
-17 |
-63 |
-195 |
| Repeal the $150 million limitation on qualified 501(c)(3) bonds |
-1 |
-6 |
-9 |
-10 |
-9 |
-9 |
-43 |
-82 |
| Repeal restrictions on the use of qualified 501(c)(3) bonds for residential rental property |
.......... |
-2 |
-6 |
-11 |
-17 |
-24 |
-60 |
-276 |
|
|
| Total provide incentives for charitable giving |
-350 |
-2,516 |
-1,984 |
-2,037 |
-2,049 |
-2,114 |
-10,700 |
-22,251 |
| Strengthen and reform education: |
| Provide refundable tax credit for certain costs of attending a different school for pupils assigned to failing public schools 4. |
.......... |
-11 |
-25 |
-32 |
-35 |
-38 |
-141 |
-161 |
| Extend, increase and expand the above-the-line deduction for qualified out-of-pocket classroom expenses |
.......... |
-23 |
-229 |
-240 |
-249 |
-260 |
-1,001 |
-2,352 |
|
|
| Total strengthen and reform education |
.......... |
-34 |
-254 |
-272 |
-284 |
-298 |
-1,142 |
-2,513 |
| Invest in health care: |
| Provide refundable tax credit for the purchase of health insurance 5 |
.......... |
-13 |
-652 |
-572 |
-475 |
-264 |
-1,976 |
-1,883 |
| Provide an above-the-line deduction for long-term care insurance premiums |
.......... |
-89 |
-444 |
-786 |
-1,564 |
-2,510 |
-5,393 |
-23,052 |
| Allow up to $500 in unused benefits in a health flexible spending arrangement to be carried forward to the next year |
.......... |
-367 |
-640 |
-723 |
-782 |
-830 |
-3,342 |
-8,385 |
| Provide additional choice with regard to unused benefits in a health flexible spending arrangement |
.......... |
-19 |
-33 |
-39 |
-45 |
-52 |
-188 |
-595 |
| Permanently extend and reform Archer MSAs |
.......... |
-26 |
-284 |
-432 |
-486 |
-549 |
-1,777 |
-5,134 |
| Provide an additional personal exemption to home caregivers of family members |
.......... |
-68 |
-459 |
-480 |
-390 |
-390 |
-1,787 |
-3,777 |
| Allow the orphan drug tax credit for certain pre-designation expenses |
-* |
-* |
-* |
-* |
-* |
-* |
–1 |
–2 |
|
|
| Total invest in health care |
-* |
-582 |
-2,512 |
-3,032 |
-3,742 |
-4,595 |
-14,463 |
-42,826 |
| Encourage telecommuting: |
| Exclude from income the value of employer-provided computers, software and peripherals |
.......... |
-26 |
-48 |
-49 |
-48 |
-52 |
-223 |
-636 |
| Increase housing opportunities: |
| Provide tax credit for developers of affordable single-family housing |
.......... |
-7 |
-80 |
-320 |
-759 |
-1,329 |
-2,495 |
-16,276 |
| Encourage saving: |
| Establish Individual Development Accounts (IDAs) |
.......... |
.......... |
-124 |
-267 |
-319 |
-300 |
-1,010 |
-1,347 |
| Expand tax-free savings opportunities |
1,208 |
9,283 |
4,309 |
1,840 |
-258 |
-1,307 |
13,867 |
4,366 |
| Consolidate employer-based savings accounts |
.......... |
-163 |
-242 |
-256 |
-271 |
-287 |
-1,219 |
-8,312 |
|
|
| Total encourage saving |
1,208 |
9,120 |
3,943 |
1,317 |
-848 |
-1,894 |
11,638 |
-5,293 |
| Protect the environment: |
| Permanently extend expensing of brownfields remediation costs |
.......... |
-185 |
-281 |
-266 |
-256 |
-247 |
-1,235 |
-2,347 |
| Exclude 50 percent of gains from the sale of property for conservation purposes |
.......... |
-17 |
-34 |
-36 |
-37 |
-39 |
-163 |
-399 |
|
|
| Total protect the environment |
.......... |
-202 |
-315 |
-302 |
-293 |
-286 |
-1,398 |
-2,746 |
| Increase energy production and promote energy conservation: |
| Extend and modify the tax credit for producing electricity from certain sources |
-124 |
-264 |
-358 |
-217 |
-102 |
-104 |
-1,045 |
-1,592 |
| Provide tax credit for residential solar energy systems |
-4 |
-7 |
-10 |
-18 |
-25 |
-11 |
-71 |
-71 |
| Modify treatment of nuclear decommissioning funds |
-12 |
-220 |
-179 |
-189 |
-200 |
-211 |
-999 |
-2,220 |
| Provide tax credit for purchase of certain hybrid and fuel cell vehicles |
-13 |
-49 |
-219 |
-493 |
-794 |
-633 |
-2,188 |
-2,973 |
| Provide tax credit for energy produced from landfill gas |
-5 |
-29 |
-67 |
-91 |
-103 |
-116 |
-406 |
-731 |
| Provide tax credit for combined heat and power property |
-8 |
-92 |
-70 |
-70 |
-80 |
-17 |
-329 |
-289 |
| Provide excise tax exemption (credit) for ethanol 6 |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
|
|
| Total increase energy production and promote energy conservation |
-166 |
-661 |
-903 |
-1,078 |
-1,304 |
-1,092 |
-5,038 |
-7,876 |
|
|
| Total tax incentives |
692 |
5,092 |
-2,153 |
-5,773 |
-9,327 |
-11,660 |
-23,821 |
-100,417 |
| Trade, Tax Administration and Unemployment Insurance: |
| Promote trade: |
| Implement free trade agreements with Chile and Singapore 7 |
.......... |
-33 |
-55 |
-70 |
-85 |
-100 |
-343 |
-859 |
| Improve tax administration: |
| Implement IRS administrative reforms |
.......... |
61 |
41 |
43 |
45 |
46 |
236 |
486 |
| Permit private collection agencies to engage in specific, limited activities to support IRS collection efforts |
.......... |
.......... |
39 |
101 |
138 |
125 |
403 |
1,225 |
| Combat abusive tax avoidance transactions |
1 |
22 |
64 |
91 |
94 |
95 |
366 |
892 |
| Limit related party interest deductions |
.......... |
11 |
109 |
198 |
251 |
307 |
876 |
3,434 |
|
|
| Total improve tax administration |
1 |
94 |
253 |
433 |
528 |
573 |
1,881 |
6,037 |
| Reform unemployment insurance: |
| Reform unemployment insurance administrative financing 7 |
.......... |
.......... |
-1,066 |
-1,403 |
-2,973 |
-2,345 |
-7,787 |
-12,899 |
|
|
| Total trade, tax administration and unemployment insurance |
1 |
61 |
-868 |
-1,040 |
-2,530 |
-1,872 |
-6,249 |
-7,721 |
| Other Proposals: |
| Deposit full amount of excise tax imposed on gasohol in the Highway Trust Fund 7 |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
561 |
579 |
595 |
1,735 |
4,938 |
| Increase Indian gaming activity fees |
.......... |
.......... |
3 |
4 |
4 |
5 |
16 |
41 |
|
|
| Total other proposals |
.......... |
.......... |
3 |
565 |
583 |
600 |
1,751 |
4,979 |
| Simplify the Tax Laws for Families: |
| Establish uniform definition of a qualifying child 8 |
-38 |
-37 |
-25 |
-15 |
-16 |
-6 |
-99 |
.......... |
| Simplify adoption tax provisions |
-4 |
-36 |
-37 |
-39 |
-40 |
-42 |
-194 |
-428 |
|
|
| Total simplify the tax laws for families |
-42 |
-73 |
-62 |
-54 |
-56 |
-48 |
-293 |
-428 |
| Reauthorize Funding for the Highway Trust Fund: |
| Impose additional registration requirements on the transfer of tax-exempt fuel by pipeline, vessel, or barge 7 |
.......... |
49 |
73 |
79 |
81 |
81 |
363 |
778 |
| Repeal installment method for payment of heavy highway vehicle use tax 7 |
.......... |
404 |
31 |
31 |
32 |
31 |
529 |
709 |
| Allow tax-exempt financing for private highway projects and rail-truck transfer facilities |
.......... |
-6 |
-22 |
-49 |
-77 |
-94 |
-248 |
-621 |
|
|
| Total reauthorize funding for the highway trust fund |
.......... |
447 |
82 |
61 |
36 |
18 |
644 |
866 |
|
|
| Total budget proposals |
716 |
3,173 |
-29,116 |
-52,456 |
-42,800 |
-44,508 |
-165,707 |
-877,973 |
| * $500,000 or less.
1 Affects both receipts and outlays. Only the receipt effect is shown here. The outlay effect is $4,044 million for 2006, $3,933 million for 2007, $3,846 million for 2008, $11,823 million for 2004–2008 and $18,072 million for 2004–2013.
2 Affects both receipts and outlays. Only the receipt effect is shown here. The outlay effect is $19,543 million for 2004–2013.
3 Affects both receipts and outlays. Only the receipt effect is shown here. The outlay effect is $3,292 million for 2004–2013.
4 Affects both receipts and outlays. Only the receipt effect is shown here. The outlay effect is $185 million for 2004, $464 million for 2005, $602 million for 2006, $668 million for 2007, $740 million for 2008, $2,659 million for 2004–2008 and $3,054 million for 2004–2013.
5 Affects both receipts and outlays. Only the receipt effect is shown here. The outlay effect is $2 million for 2004, $2,345 million for 2005, $5,509 million for 2006, $7,100 million for 2007, $7,431 million for 2008, $22,387 million for 2004–2008 and $67,104 million for 2004–2013.
6 Policy proposal with a receipt effect of zero.
7 Net of income offsets.
8 Affects both receipts and outlays. Only the receipt effect is shown here. The outlay effect is $35 million for 2004, $35 million for 2005, $36 million for 2006, $36 million for 2007, $36 million for 2008, $178 million for 2004–2008 and $365 million for 2004–2013.
|
|
Table 14. RECEIPTS BY SOURCE (In billions of dollars)
|
| |
2002 Actual |
Estimate
|
| 2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
|
| February estimates: |
| Individual income taxes |
858.3 |
849.1 |
849.9 |
934.6 |
1,014.1 |
1,103.4 |
1,175.3 |
| Corporation income taxes |
148.0 |
143.2 |
169.1 |
229.3 |
233.8 |
237.8 |
243.7 |
| Social insurance and retirement receipts |
700.8 |
726.6 |
764.5 |
810.9 |
845.8 |
883.6 |
922.2 |
| Excise taxes |
67.0 |
68.4 |
70.9 |
73.3 |
75.6 |
77.8 |
80.0 |
| Estate and gift taxes |
26.5 |
20.2 |
23.4 |
21.1 |
23.2 |
20.8 |
21.2 |
| Customs duties |
18.6 |
19.1 |
20.7 |
21.2 |
23.9 |
26.0 |
27.6 |
| Miscellaneous receipts |
33.9 |
34.7 |
38.5 |
44.8 |
46.9 |
48.8 |
51.0 |
| Adjustment for revenue uncertainty 1 |
.......... |
-25.0 |
-15.0 |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
|
|
| Total |
1,853.2 |
1,836.2 |
1,922.0 |
2,135.2 |
2,263.2 |
2,398.1 |
2,520.9 |
| Mid-Session estimates: |
| Individual income taxes |
858.3 |
790.0 |
786.6 |
882.4 |
973.5 |
1,068.2 |
1,138.8 |
| Corporation income taxes |
148.0 |
125.3 |
144.1 |
212.6 |
239.2 |
243.4 |
246.8 |
| Social insurance and retirement receipts |
700.8 |
711.0 |
748.6 |
801.8 |
840.6 |
881.1 |
919.2 |
| Excise taxes |
67.0 |
67.1 |
70.0 |
71.9 |
74.1 |
76.2 |
78.3 |
| Estate and gift taxes |
26.5 |
22.0 |
22.0 |
20.3 |
22.7 |
20.5 |
21.2 |
| Customs duties |
18.6 |
20.0 |
22.0 |
22.0 |
23.9 |
25.3 |
26.6 |
| Miscellaneous receipts |
33.9 |
35.9 |
34.1 |
37.4 |
40.7 |
45.4 |
49.1 |
| Adjustment for revenue uncertainty 1 |
.......... |
-15.0 |
-30.0 |
-15.0 |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
|
|
| Total |
1,853.2 |
1,756.3 |
1,797.4 |
2,033.5 |
2,214.7 |
2,360.1 |
2,480.1 |
| Difference: |
| Individual income taxes |
.......... |
-59.1 |
-63.2 |
-52.1 |
-40.6 |
-35.2 |
-36.5 |
| Corporation income taxes |
.......... |
-17.9 |
-25.0 |
-16.7 |
5.4 |
5.6 |
3.1 |
| Social insurance and retirement receipts |
.......... |
-15.5 |
-15.9 |
-9.0 |
-5.1 |
-2.5 |
-3.1 |
| Excise taxes |
.......... |
-1.3 |
-0.9 |
-1.4 |
-1.5 |
-1.6 |
-1.6 |
| Estate and gift taxes |
.......... |
1.8 |
-1.4 |
-0.8 |
-0.5 |
-0.2 |
0.1 |
| Customs duties |
.......... |
1.0 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
* |
-0.7 |
-0.9 |
| Miscellaneous receipts |
.......... |
1.2 |
-4.4 |
-7.5 |
-6.2 |
-3.4 |
-1.9 |
| Adjustment for revenue uncertainty 1 |
.......... |
10.0 |
-15.0 |
-15.0 |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
|
|
| Total |
.......... |
-79.9 |
-124.6 |
-101.7 |
-48.5 |
-37.9 |
-40.9 |
| * $50 million or less.
1 These amounts reflect an additional adjustment to receipts beyond what the economic and tax models forecast and have been made in the interest of cautious and prudent forecasting.
|
|
Table 15. DISCRETIONARY BUDGET AUTHORITY BY AGENCY (In billions of dollars)
|
| |
2002 Actual |
Estimate
|
| 2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
|
| Legislative Branch |
3.0 |
3.4 |
3.8 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
| Judicial Branch |
4.3 |
4.6 |
5.1 |
5.2 |
5.3 |
5.4 |
5.6 |
| Agriculture |
18.8 |
21.5 |
19.5 |
19.9 |
20.1 |
20.5 |
21.2 |
| Commerce |
5.4 |
5.5 |
5.3 |
5.8 |
5.8 |
6.0 |
6.4 |
| Defense—Military |
327.8 |
364.6 |
379.9 |
399.8 |
419.8 |
440.5 |
461.8 |
| Education |
49.5 |
50.9 |
53.2 |
61.1 |
62.0 |
63.3 |
65.0 |
| Energy |
20.9 |
21.9 |
23.5 |
24.9 |
25.0 |
24.6 |
24.2 |
| Health and Human Services |
59.5 |
65.6 |
66.2 |
60.4 |
61.1 |
62.5 |
64.1 |
| Homeland Security |
15.7 |
22.1 |
26.8 |
27.1 |
27.4 |
28.0 |
28.8 |
| Housing and Urban Development |
29.4 |
30.2 |
31.3 |
32.2 |
33.0 |
33.9 |
34.6 |
| Interior |
10.5 |
10.4 |
10.6 |
10.8 |
10.9 |
11.1 |
11.4 |
| Justice |
18.6 |
18.8 |
17.7 |
19.5 |
19.7 |
20.2 |
20.8 |
| Labor |
12.1 |
11.8 |
11.6 |
11.8 |
12.0 |
11.4 |
10.8 |
| State |
9.0 |
9.0 |
9.8 |
9.9 |
10.0 |
10.3 |
10.5 |
| Transportation |
12.9 |
13.6 |
13.7 |
13.9 |
14.0 |
14.3 |
14.7 |
| Treasury |
10.5 |
10.9 |
11.4 |
11.6 |
11.7 |
12.0 |
12.3 |
| Veterans Affairs |
23.9 |
26.4 |
28.1 |
28.5 |
28.6 |
29.1 |
29.7 |
| Corps of Engineers-Civil Works |
4.5 |
4.6 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
4.1 |
4.2 |
4.3 |
| Other Defense Civil Programs |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
| Environmental Protection Agency |
7.9 |
8.1 |
7.6 |
7.8 |
7.8 |
8.0 |
8.2 |
| Executive Office of the President |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
| General Services Administration |
0.2 |
1.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
| International Assistance Programs |
12.5 |
14.0 |
17.0 |
18.0 |
22.4 |
23.4 |
24.2 |
| National Aeronautics and Space Administration |
14.8 |
15.3 |
15.5 |
16.0 |
16.7 |
17.3 |
17.8 |
| National Science Foundation |
4.8 |
5.3 |
5.5 |
5.6 |
5.6 |
5.8 |
5.9 |
| Office of Personnel Management |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
| Small Business Administration |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
| Social Security Administration |
6.4 |
6.7 |
7.3 |
7.5 |
7.5 |
7.7 |
7.9 |
| Other Independent Agencies |
6.6 |
7.2 |
6.4 |
6.4 |
6.0 |
7.2 |
7.4 |
| Allowances |
.......... |
.......... |
-0.5 |
-0.5 |
-0.5 |
-0.5 |
-0.6 |
|
|
| Total without emergency response funding |
691.0 |
755.1 |
782.3 |
813.5 |
842.3 |
872.4 |
903.6 |
| Emergency response funding |
43.8 |
89.0 |
0.2 |
| Note: 2003 excludes $1.9 billion in requested supplemental funding for disaster relief and other emergency activities.
|
|
Table 16. DISCRETIONARY PROPOSALS BY APPROPRIATIONS SUBCOMMITTEE (Budget authority in billions of dollars)
|
| Appropriations Subcommittee |
2002 Enacted |
2003 Estimate |
2004 Estimate |
Change: 2003 to 2004 |
|
| Agriculture and Rural Development |
17.0 |
18.5 |
16.9 |
-1.6 |
| Commerce, Justice, State, and the Judiciary |
36.1 |
37.6 |
37.5 |
-0.1 |
| Defense |
317.4 |
354.3 |
371.0 |
16.7 |
| District of Columbia |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
-0.1 |
| Energy and Water Development |
24.8 |
25.9 |
26.8 |
0.9 |
| Foreign Operations |
15.1 |
16.3 |
18.8 |
2.5 |
| Homeland Security |
29.9 |
22.1 |
26.6 |
4.5 |
| Interior and Related Agencies |
19.3 |
19.6 |
19.6 |
-0.1 |
| Labor, Health and Human Services,ÿ20and Education |
122.8 |
132.1 |
135.4 |
3.3 |
| Legislative |
3.0 |
3.3 |
3.8 |
0.5 |
| Military Construction |
10.6 |
10.5 |
9.1 |
-1.4 |
| Transportation, Treasury, and Related Agencies |
21.6 |
28.0 |
27.6 |
-0.4 |
| Veterans Affairs, Housing and Urban Development |
73.1 |
86.3 |
89.2 |
2.9 |
| Allowances |
* |
* |
-0.3 |
-0.3 |
|
|
| Total without emergency response funding |
691.0 |
755.1 |
782.3 |
27.3 |
| Emergency response funding |
43.8 |
89.0 |
0.2 |
-78.8 |
| * 50 million or less.
Note: 2003 excludes $1.9 billion in requested supplemental funding for disaster relief and other emergency activities.
|
|
Table 17. OUTLAYS BY AGENCY (In billions of dollars)
|
| |
2002 Actual |
Estimate
|
| 2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
|
| Legislative Branch |
3.2 |
3.9 |
4.4 |
4.2 |
4.3 |
4.3 |
4.4 |
| Judicial Branch |
4.8 |
5.1 |
5.6 |
5.7 |
5.8 |
5.9 |
6.1 |
| Agriculture |
68.7 |
77.0 |
78.0 |
81.1 |
81.4 |
81.3 |
80.8 |
| Commerce |
5.3 |
6.1 |
5.8 |
6.0 |
5.9 |
6.0 |
6.3 |
| Defense—Military |
332.0 |
408.6 |
390.3 |
391.9 |
403.6 |
416.6 |
441.2 |
| Education |
46.3 |
59.7 |
60.6 |
64.1 |
67.8 |
68.3 |
69.4 |
| Energy |
17.7 |
19.5 |
21.2 |
22.4 |
22.8 |
22.5 |
21.8 |
| Health and Human Services |
465.8 |
508.4 |
546.1 |
568.0 |
615.7 |
659.4 |
703.9 |
| Homeland Security |
17.5 |
35.8 |
28.9 |
29.3 |
28.1 |
28.1 |
28.5 |
| Housing and Urban Development |
31.9 |
38.0 |
38.0 |
38.6 |
39.1 |
39.3 |
32.3 |
| Interior |
9.7 |
10.4 |
10.6 |
11.7 |
10.7 |
10.8 |
11.1 |
| Justice |
21.1 |
21.5 |
25.1 |
24.2 |
23.2 |
21.4 |
21.9 |
| Labor |
64.7 |
70.7 |
65.4 |
53.8 |
53.8 |
55.6 |
58.1 |
| State |
9.5 |
11.0 |
10.4 |
10.6 |
10.6 |
10.8 |
11.1 |
| Transportation |
56.1 |
51.5 |
56.3 |
56.1 |
55.9 |
57.2 |
59.0 |
| Treasury |
370.6 |
373.6 |
381.7 |
414.2 |
456.7 |
497.6 |
536.0 |
| Veterans Affairs |
50.9 |
58.3 |
61.5 |
66.6 |
66.1 |
65.3 |
70.3 |
| Corps of Engineers-Civil Works |
4.8 |
4.6 |
4.3 |
4.1 |
4.1 |
4.2 |
4.3 |
| Other Defense Civil Programs |
35.2 |
40.2 |
40.5 |
40.5 |
40.5 |
40.5 |
40.4 |
| Environmental Protection Agency |
7.4 |
8.1 |
8.4 |
8.4 |
8.2 |
8.1 |
8.3 |
| Executive Office of the President |
0.5 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
| General Services Administration |
-0.7 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
* |
-0.1 |
| International Assistance Programs |
13.3 |
16.7 |
16.1 |
15.6 |
18.5 |
20.8 |
22.6 |
| National Aeronautics and Space Administration |
14.4 |
14.8 |
15.4 |
15.9 |
16.5 |
17.0 |
17.5 |
| National Science Foundation |
4.2 |
4.9 |
5.2 |
5.4 |
5.5 |
5.7 |
5.8 |
| Office of Personnel Management |
52.5 |
55.8 |
58.5 |
61.5 |
64.4 |
67.3 |
70.6 |
| Small Business Administration |
0.5 |
1.6 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
| Social Security Administration |
487.8 |
508.7 |
531.0 |
554.5 |
574.1 |
596.6 |
628.9 |
| Other Independent Agencies |
16.0 |
6.8 |
15.3 |
16.7 |
12.6 |
13.4 |
13.0 |
| Allowances |
.......... |
.......... |
-0.5 |
-1.6 |
-1.4 |
-* |
* |
| Undistributed Offsetting Receipts |
-200.7 |
-211.9 |
-214.3 |
-233.6 |
-243.3 |
-252.3 |
-268.7 |
|
|
| Total |
2,011.0 |
2,211.7 |
2,272.4 |
2,337.5 |
2,452.3 |
2,572.9 |
2,706.0 |
| * $50 million or less.
|
|
Table 18. BASELINE CATEGORY TOTALS (In billions of dollars)
|
| |
Estimate
|
| 2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2004–2008 |
|
| Outlays: |
| Discretionary: |
| Defense |
425 |
403 |
396 |
402 |
412 |
421 |
2,035 |
| Nondefense |
433 |
437 |
443 |
447 |
455 |
459 |
2,240 |
|
|
| Total, Discretionary |
858 |
841 |
839 |
849 |
867 |
880 |
4,275 |
| Mandatory: |
| Social Security |
471 |
492 |
512 |
533 |
556 |
584 |
2,676 |
| Medicare |
244 |
253 |
267 |
276 |
296 |
314 |
1,406 |
| Medicaid and SCHIP |
168 |
184 |
193 |
209 |
228 |
247 |
1,060 |
| Other |
312 |
318 |
309 |
303 |
308 |
320 |
1,557 |
|
|
| Total, Mandatory |
1,196 |
1,247 |
1,280 |
1,321 |
1,387 |
1,465 |
6,700 |
| Net interest |
156 |
165 |
184 |
207 |
227 |
241 |
1,025 |
|
|
| Total, Outlays |
2,210 |
2,252 |
2,304 |
2,377 |
2,481 |
2,587 |
12,001 |
| Receipts |
1,756 |
1,794 |
2,063 |
2,267 |
2,403 |
2,525 |
11,051 |
|
|
| Deficit |
-455 |
-458 |
-241 |
-110 |
-78 |
-62 |
-949 |
| On-budget deficit |
-614 |
-621 |
-427 |
-313 |
-300 |
-300 |
-1,962 |
| Off-budget surplus |
159 |
164 |
186 |
203 |
222 |
238 |
1,013 |
| Note: Estimates assume the spending on the War Supplemental and the War Reserve is one time only.
|
|
Table 19. OUTLAYS FOR MANDATORY PROGRAMS UNDER CURRENT LAW 1 (In billions of dollars)
|
| |
2002 Actual |
Estimate
|
| 2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
|
| Human resources programs: |
| Education, training, employment, and social services |
7.8 |
11.9 |
11.2 |
9.4 |
8.9 |
8.2 |
7.8 |
| Health |
157.1 |
179.9 |
196.3 |
206.3 |
223.8 |
243.2 |
263.7 |
| Medicare |
227.7 |
244.4 |
253.4 |
267.2 |
276.0 |
295.7 |
314.1 |
| Income security |
264.5 |
285.8 |
283.7 |
288.7 |
289.7 |
294.6 |
307.0 |
| Social security |
452.1 |
471.1 |
491.7 |
511.7 |
532.8 |
556.4 |
583.9 |
| Veterans' benefits and services |
26.9 |
31.8 |
34.0 |
38.6 |
37.8 |
36.7 |
41.1 |
|
|
| Subtotal, human resources programs |
1,136.1 |
1,224.9 |
1,270.3 |
1,321.9 |
1,369.0 |
1,434.7 |
1,517.5 |
| Other mandatory programs: |
| International affairs |
-3.8 |
-5.3 |
-2.3 |
-2.2 |
-2.3 |
-2.1 |
-1.9 |
| Energy |
-2.5 |
-2.9 |
-2.9 |
-2.5 |
-2.4 |
-2.8 |
-2.9 |
| Natural resources and environment |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
| Agriculture |
16.9 |
17.7 |
17.7 |
19.8 |
19.5 |
18.5 |
16.0 |
| Commerce and housing credit |
-1.4 |
-0.7 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
-1.8 |
-2.1 |
-2.7 |
| Transportation |
4.6 |
2.8 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
| Justice |
1.2 |
2.3 |
6.2 |
3.0 |
2.3 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
| General government |
2.7 |
7.3 |
7.3 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.4 |
| Undistributed offsetting receipts |
-47.4 |
-51.8 |
-54.7 |
-66.0 |
-68.9 |
-67.8 |
-70.6 |
| Other functions |
-1.5 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
-1.2 |
-1.3 |
-0.2 |
-0.1 |
|
|
| Subtotal, other mandatory programs |
-30.4 |
-28.7 |
-23.5 |
-41.7 |
-47.9 |
-47.4 |
-52.7 |
|
|
| Total, outlays for mandatory programs under current law |
1,105.7 |
1,196.2 |
1,246.8 |
1,280.2 |
1,321.1 |
1,387.3 |
1,464.9 |
| 1 This table meets the requirements of Section 221(b) of the Legislative Reorganization Act of 1970.
|
|
Table 20. FEDERAL GOVERNMENT FINANCING AND DEBT (In billions of dollars)
|
| |
2002 Actual |
Estimate
|
| 2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
|
| Financing: |
| Unified budget deficit (-) |
-158 |
-455 |
-475 |
-304 |
-238 |
-213 |
-226 |
| Financing other than the change in debt held by the public: |
| Premiums paid (-) on buybacks of Treasury securities |
-4 |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
| Net purchases (-) of non-Federal securities by |
| the National Railroad Retirement Investment Trust |
-2 |
-18 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
| Changes in: 1 |
| Treasury operating cash balance |
-17 |
16 |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
| Compensating balances 2 |
-14 |
-25 |
52 |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
| Checks outstanding, etc. 3 |
-12 |
-3 |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
.......... |
| Seigniorage on coins |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
| Less: Net financing disbursements: |
| Direct loan financing accounts |
-15 |
-13 |
-19 |
-15 |
-20 |
-21 |
-21 |
| Guaranteed loan financing accounts |
-2 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
| Total, financing other than the change in debt held |
| by the public |
-63 |
-40 |
38 |
-12 |
-16 |
-17 |
-18 |
|
|
| Total, requirement to borrow from the public |
-221 |
-496 |
-437 |
-316 |
-254 |
-230 |
-244 |
| Change in debt held by the public |
221 |
496 |
437 |
316 |
254 |
230 |
244 |
| Changes in Debt Subject to Limitation: |
| Change in debt held by the public |
221 |
496 |
437 |
316 |
254 |
230 |
244 |
| Change in debt held by Government accounts |
208 |
202 |
253 |
275 |
280 |
294 |
307 |
| Change in other factors |
* |
16 |
* |
* |
* |
* |
1 |
|
|
| Total, change in debt subject to statutory limitation |
429 |
713 |
690 |
591 |
534 |
524 |
551 |
| Debt Subject to Statutory Limitation, End of Year: |
| Debt issued by Treasury |
6,171 |
6,869 |
7,560 |
8,151 |
8,685 |
9,209 |
9,760 |
| Adjustment for Treasury debt not subject to limitation |
| and agency debt subject to limitation 4 |
-15 |
-* |
-* |
-* |
-* |
-* |
-* |
| Adjustment for discount and premium 5 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
|
|
| Total, debt subject to statutory limitation 6 |
6,161 |
6,875 |
7,565 |
8,156 |
8,690 |
9,215 |
9,766 |
| Debt Outstanding, End of Year: |
| Gross Federal debt: 7 |
| Debt issued by Treasury |
6,171 |
6,869 |
7,560 |
8,151 |
8,685 |
9,209 |
9,760 |
| Debt issued by other agencies |
27 |
27 |
27 |
26 |
26 |
26 |
25 |
|
|
| Total, gross Federal debt |
6,198 |
6,896 |
7,586 |
8,177 |
8,711 |
9,235 |
9,785 |
| Held by: |
| Debt held by Government accounts |
2,658 |
2,860 |
3,113 |
3,388 |
3,668 |
3,962 |
4,269 |
| Debt held by the public 8 |
3,540 |
4,036 |
4,473 |
4,789 |
5,043 |
5,272 |
5,516 |
| * $500 million or less.
1 A decrease in the Treasury operating cash balance or compensating balances (which are assets) would be a means of financing a deficit and therefore has a positive sign. An increase in checks outstanding (which is a liability) would also be a means of financing a deficit and therefore also has a positive sign.
2 Compensating balances are non-interest bearing Treasury bank deposits that Treasury mainly uses to compensate banks for collecting tax and non-tax receipts under financial agency agreements. Most of the balances estimated at the end of 2003 are required to be invested in nonmarketable Depositary Compensation Securities issued by the Treasury; the rest of the balances, and the entire amount in previous years, is invested in the way that the banks decide. The Administration has proposed legislation that would allow Treasury to replace compensating balances by an appropriation.
3 Besides checks outstanding, includes accrued interest payable on Treasury debt, miscellaneous liability accounts, allocations of special drawing rights; and, as an offset, cash and monetary assets (other than the Treasury operating cash balance and compensating balances), miscellaneous asset accounts, and profit on sale of gold.
4 Consists primarily of Federal Financing Bank debt in 2002.
5 Consists of unamortized discount (less premium) on public issues of Treasury notes and bonds (other than zero-coupon bonds) and unrealized discount on Government account series securities.
6 The statutory debt limit is $7,384 billion.
7 Treasury securities held by the public and zero-coupon bonds held by Government accounts are almost all measured at sales price plus amortized discount or less amortized premium. Agency debt securities are almost all measured at face value. Treasury securities in the Government account series are measured at face value less unrealized discount (if any).
8 At the end of 2002, the Federal Reserve Banks held $604.2 billion of Federal securities and the rest of the public held $2,936.2 billion. Debt held by the Federal Reserve Banks is not estimated for future years.
|
|
|