Table S–1. Budget Totals
(Dollar amounts in billions)
| |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| In billions of dollars: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Receipts |
1,782 |
1,798 |
2,036 |
2,206 |
2,351 |
2,485 |
2,616 |
| Outlays |
2,158 |
2,319 |
2,400 |
2,473 |
2,592 |
2,724 |
2,853 |
| Deficit 1 |
-375 |
-521 |
-364 |
-268 |
-241 |
-239 |
-237 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Gross Domestic Product
(GDP) |
10,828 |
11,466 |
12,042 |
12,641 |
13,279 |
13,973 |
14,702 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| As a percent of GDP: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Receipts |
16.5% |
15.7% |
16.9% |
17.4% |
17.7% |
17.8% |
17.8% |
| Outlays |
19.9% |
20.2% |
19.9% |
19.6% |
19.5% |
19.5% |
19.4% |
| Deficit |
-3.5% |
-4.5% |
-3.0% |
-2.1% |
-1.8% |
-1.7% |
-1.6% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 The
Budget incorporates the HHS actuaries' estimates for the Medicare Prescription
Drug, Improvement, and Modernization Act of 2003. Because
CBO's 10–year cost estimates of this bill were significantly below the
HHS actuaries' estimates and because of the uncertainties involved in these
estimates, Table S-13 also includes deficit calculations that reflect the
lower CBO estimates.
Table S–2. Discretionary Totals
(Budget authority; dollar amounts in billions)
| |
Actual |
2004 Enacted |
2005 Proposed |
2004–2005 Dollar
Change |
| |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Discretionary
budget authority: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Homeland Security (non-Defense) |
10 |
13 |
24 |
28 |
30 |
3 |
| Department of Defense |
303 |
328 |
365 |
375 |
402 |
26 |
| Other Operations of Government |
331 |
351 |
370 |
384 |
386 |
2 |
| Total,
Discretionary budget authority |
644 |
691 |
758 |
787 |
818 |
31 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Percent change by category: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Homeland Security (non-Defense) |
13.9% |
21.5% |
84.9% |
18.2% |
9.7% |
|
| Department of Defense |
5.3% |
8.3% |
11.5% |
2.7% |
7.1% |
|
| Other Operations of Government |
14.9% |
6.0% |
5.4% |
4.0% |
0.5% |
|
| Total, Percent change |
10.2% |
7.3% |
9.8% |
3.8% |
3.9% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Supplementals: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Homeland Security |
3 |
12 |
6 |
* |
|
|
| Defense and Other War
on Terror |
14 |
18 |
80 |
87 |
|
|
| Non-Defense, non-Homeland |
3 |
14 |
5 |
* |
|
|
| Total,
Supplemental funding |
20 |
44 |
91 |
87 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Total,
Discretionary budget authority with supplementals |
664 |
735 |
849 |
874 |
818 |
-56 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Percent change by category
with supplementals: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Homeland Security (non-Defense) |
41.6% |
86.3% |
21.8% |
-5.5% |
9.3% |
|
| Department of Defense |
10.3% |
9.1% |
28.9% |
3.7% |
-13.1% |
|
| Other Operations of Government |
16.0% |
9.2% |
2.6% |
2.7% |
0.4% |
|
| Total, Percent change |
13.6% |
10.7% |
15.6% |
2.9% |
-6.4% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
*Less than $0.5 billion.
Table S–3. Agency Growth in Discretionary Spending
(Budget authority; dollar amounts in billions)
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Growth |
| |
Actual |
|
Estimate |
|
2004-2005 |
|
Average |
Cumulative |
| Agency |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
|
2004 |
2005 |
|
Change |
Percent |
|
2001–2005 |
2001–2005 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Agriculture |
19.2 |
20.1 |
21.7 |
|
20.7 |
19.1 |
|
-1.7 |
-8.1% |
|
-0.2% |
-0.9% |
| Commerce |
5.1 |
5.4 |
5.6 |
|
5.8 |
5.7 |
|
-0.1 |
-1.0% |
|
2.9% |
12.1% |
| Defense |
302.5 |
327.8 |
365.3 |
|
375.3 |
401.7 |
|
26.5 |
7.1% |
|
7.3% |
32.8% |
| Education |
40.1 |
48.5 |
53.1 |
|
55.7 |
57.3 |
|
1.7 |
3.0% |
|
9.3% |
43.0% |
| Energy |
20.0 |
20.9 |
21.9 |
|
23.3 |
23.6 |
|
0.3 |
1.2% |
|
4.2% |
17.7% |
| Health and Human Services |
54.0 |
59.5 |
65.7 |
|
69.3 |
68.2 |
|
-1.1 |
-1.6% |
|
6.0% |
26.2% |
| Homeland Security |
14.0 |
15.7 |
22.0 |
|
27.1 |
28.3 |
|
1.3 |
4.6% |
|
19.3% |
102.3% |
| Housing and Urban Development |
28.4 |
29.4 |
30.1 |
|
30.4 |
31.3 |
|
0.8 |
2.8% |
|
2.5% |
10.3% |
| Interior |
10.3 |
10.5 |
10.5 |
|
10.6 |
10.8 |
|
0.2 |
1.9% |
|
1.4% |
5.7% |
| Justice |
18.4 |
18.6 |
19.0 |
|
19.3 |
18.7 |
|
-0.6 |
-3.1% |
|
0.5% |
2.1% |
| Labor |
11.9 |
12.1 |
11.8 |
|
11.7 |
11.9 |
|
0.1 |
1.3% |
|
-0.1% |
-0.4% |
| State |
7.7 |
9.0 |
9.2 |
|
9.3 |
10.3 |
|
1.0 |
10.7% |
|
7.3% |
32.8% |
| Transportation |
14.6 |
12.8 |
13.5 |
|
13.9 |
13.3 |
|
-0.5 |
-3.9% |
|
-2.1% |
-8.3% |
| Treasury |
10.3 |
10.5 |
10.7 |
|
11.2 |
10.8 |
|
-0.4 |
-3.6% |
|
1.1% |
4.3% |
| Veterans Affairs |
22.4 |
23.8 |
26.4 |
|
29.1 |
29.7 |
|
0.5 |
1.8% |
|
7.3% |
32.5% |
| Corps of Engineers |
4.7 |
4.5 |
4.6 |
|
4.6 |
4.0 |
|
-0.6 |
-13.1% |
|
-4.1% |
-15.4% |
| Environmental Protection
Agency |
7.8 |
7.9 |
8.1 |
|
8.4 |
7.8 |
|
-0.6 |
-7.2% |
|
-0.2% |
-1.0% |
| Executive Office of the
President |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
|
0.3 |
0.3 |
|
0.0 |
0.5% |
|
6.8% |
30.2% |
| General Services Administration |
0.2 |
0.2 |
1.3 |
|
0.5 |
0.2 |
|
-0.2 |
-49.2% |
|
5.3% |
22.8% |
| International Assistance
Programs |
12.6 |
12.7 |
13.6 |
|
15.7 |
19.3 |
|
3.7 |
23.5% |
|
11.3% |
53.6% |
| Judicial Branch |
4.0 |
4.3 |
4.6 |
|
4.8 |
5.4 |
|
0.6 |
11.5% |
|
7.8% |
35.2% |
| Legislative Branch |
2.8 |
3.0 |
3.4 |
|
3.6 |
4.0 |
|
0.4 |
12.3% |
|
9.8% |
45.4% |
| NASA |
14.3 |
14.8 |
15.3 |
|
15.4 |
16.2 |
|
0.9 |
5.6% |
|
3.3% |
14.0% |
| National Science Foundation |
4.4 |
4.8 |
5.3 |
|
5.6 |
5.7 |
|
0.2 |
3.0% |
|
6.7% |
29.7% |
| Small Business Administration |
0.9 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
|
0.8 |
0.7 |
|
-0.1 |
-10.4% |
|
-6.8% |
-24.7% |
| Social Security Administration |
6.0 |
6.4 |
6.7 |
|
7.2 |
7.6 |
|
0.4 |
5.9% |
|
5.9% |
25.8% |
| Other Agencies |
7.0 |
6.8 |
7.9 |
|
8.0 |
6.5 |
|
-1.5 |
-19.1% |
|
-2.0% |
-7.6% |
| Total,
Discretionary Spending |
643.8 |
691.0 |
758.5 |
|
787.3 |
818.4 |
|
31.1 |
3.9% |
|
6.2% |
27.1% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Emergency Response Funds
and Supplementals |
20.0 |
43.8 |
90.9 |
|
87.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Table S–4. Percentage Year-to-Year Growth in Discretionary
Budget Authority
| Agency |
2000 to 2001 |
2001 to 2002 |
2002 to 2003 |
2003 to 2004 |
2004 to 2005 |
Average Growth 2001-2005 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Agriculture |
13% |
4% |
8% |
-4% |
-8% |
* |
| Commerce |
-41% |
6% |
3% |
4% |
-1% |
3% |
| Defense |
5% |
8% |
11% |
3% |
7% |
7% |
| Education |
37% |
21% |
10% |
5% |
3% |
9% |
| Energy |
13% |
4% |
5% |
6% |
1% |
4% |
| Health and Human Services |
19% |
10% |
10% |
5% |
-2% |
6% |
| Homeland Security |
-4% |
12% |
39% |
23% |
5% |
19% |
| Housing and Urban Development |
34% |
4% |
2% |
1% |
3% |
2% |
| Interior |
21% |
2% |
* |
1% |
2% |
1% |
| Justice |
14% |
1% |
2% |
2% |
-3% |
1% |
| Labor |
36% |
2% |
-2% |
-1% |
1% |
* |
| State |
-1% |
16% |
3% |
* |
11% |
7% |
| Transportation |
40% |
-12% |
5% |
3% |
-4% |
-2% |
| Treasury |
12% |
2% |
2% |
5% |
-4% |
1% |
| Veterans Affairs |
7% |
6% |
11% |
10% |
2% |
7% |
| Corps of Engineers |
14% |
-4% |
3% |
-1% |
-13% |
-4% |
| Environmental Protection
Agency |
3% |
1% |
2% |
3% |
-7% |
* |
| Executive Office of the
President |
-4% |
5% |
14% |
8% |
* |
7% |
| International Assistance
Programs |
-8% |
1% |
7% |
15% |
23% |
11% |
| Judicial Branch |
8% |
9% |
6% |
5% |
12% |
8% |
| Legislative Branch |
9% |
10% |
13% |
5% |
12% |
10% |
| NASA |
5% |
4% |
4% |
* |
6% |
3% |
| National Science Foundation |
13% |
8% |
11% |
5% |
3% |
7% |
| Small Business Administration |
1% |
-15% |
* |
-1% |
-10% |
-7% |
| Social Security Administration |
7% |
6% |
5% |
7% |
6% |
6% |
| Other Agencies |
23% |
-3% |
33% |
-9% |
-21% |
-2% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Percent Growth by Category: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Defense (DOD) |
5% |
8% |
11% |
3% |
7% |
7% |
| Homeland Security |
14% |
21% |
85% |
18% |
10% |
31% |
| Non-Defense, non-Homeland |
15% |
6% |
5% |
4% |
1% |
4% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Total, excluding emergency
supplementals |
10.2% |
7.3% |
9.8% |
3.8% |
3.9% |
6% |
| Total, including emergency
supplementals |
13.6% |
10.7% |
15.6% |
3.0% |
-6.4% |
5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
*0.5 percent or less
Table S–5. Discretionary Proposals by Appropriations Subcommittee
(Budget authority in billions of dollars)
| Appropriations Subcommittee |
2004 Enacted |
2005 Proposed |
Change: 2004–2005 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Agriculture and Rural
Development |
17.7 |
16.4 |
-1.2 |
| Commerce, Justice, State,
and the Judiciary |
38.7 |
39.4 |
0.7 |
| Defense |
366.1 |
392.5 |
26.4 |
| District of Columbia |
0.5 |
0.6 |
* |
| Energy and Water Development |
27.3 |
27.0 |
-0.3 |
| Foreign Operations |
17.5 |
21.3 |
3.8 |
| Homeland Security |
27.1 |
28.3 |
1.3 |
| Interior and Related Agencies |
20.0 |
20.0 |
-0.1 |
| Labor, Health and Human
Services, and Education |
140.9 |
141.8 |
0.9 |
| Legislative Branch |
3.5 |
4.0 |
0.4 |
| Military Construction |
9.3 |
9.5 |
0.2 |
| Transportation, Treasury,
and General Government |
28.7 |
26.0 |
-2.7 |
| Veterans Affairs, Housing
and Urban Development |
90.1 |
92.0 |
1.9 |
| Allowances |
— |
-0.4 |
-0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Total,
excluding supplemental funding |
787.3 |
818.4 |
31.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Supplemental funding |
87.3 |
— |
|
|
|
|
|
|
*0.5 percent or less
Table S–6. Homeland Security Funding by Agency
(Budget authority in millions of dollars)
| |
2003 |
|
2004 |
|
2005 |
| |
Actual |
Supplemental |
|
Estimate |
Supplemental |
|
Proposed |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Homeland
Security Funding: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Department of Agriculture |
300 |
110 |
|
327 |
— |
|
651 |
| Department of Commerce |
112 |
— |
|
131 |
— |
|
150 |
| Department of Defense-Military 1 |
8,442 |
— |
|
7,024 |
— |
|
8,023 |
| Department of Energy |
1,247 |
162 |
|
1,363 |
— |
|
1,497 |
| Department of Health and
Human Services |
4,002 |
142 |
|
4,109 |
— |
|
4,276 |
| Department of Homeland
Security |
18,652 |
4,411 |
|
23,492 |
91 |
|
27,214 |
| Department of Justice |
1,893 |
457 |
|
2,166 |
16 |
|
2,581 |
| Department of State |
633 |
1 |
|
701 |
— |
|
955 |
| Department of the Treasury |
80 |
— |
|
90 |
— |
|
87 |
| Department of Transportation |
383 |
— |
|
284 |
— |
|
243 |
| Department of Veterans
Affairs |
154 |
— |
|
271 |
— |
|
297 |
| Corps of Engineers |
36 |
39 |
|
103 |
— |
|
84 |
| Environmental Protection
Agency |
133 |
— |
|
123 |
— |
|
97 |
| Social Security Administration |
132 |
— |
|
143 |
— |
|
155 |
| National Aeronautics and
Space Administration |
205 |
— |
|
191 |
— |
|
207 |
| National Science Foundation |
285 |
— |
|
328 |
— |
|
344 |
| Other Agencies |
429 |
7 |
|
461 |
— |
|
525 |
| Total,
Homeland Security Funding |
37,118 |
5,329 |
|
41,307 |
107 |
|
47,386 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Less Department of Defense-Military 1 |
-8,442 |
— |
|
-7,024 |
— |
|
-8,023 |
| Less Department of Homeland
Security Project BioShield 2 |
— |
— |
|
-885 |
— |
|
-2,528 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Total,
Homeland Security Funding, excluding Defense and BioShield |
28,676 |
5,329 |
|
33,398 |
107 |
|
36,835 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Less Mandatory Homeland
Security Funding 3 |
-1,760 |
— |
|
-1,948 |
— |
|
-2,261 |
| Less Discretionary Fee-Funded
Activities 4 |
-3,414 |
705 |
|
-3,655 |
— |
|
-4,081 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Net
Non-Defense Discretionary Homeland Security Budget Authority |
23,502 |
6,034 |
|
27,795 |
107 |
|
30,493 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 Defense homeland security funding declines in 2004 due to one-time
force protection investments in 2003.
2 The Administration is proposing a separate
BEA category for the DHS Bioshield program (see Chapter 14 in the Analytical Perspectives volume).
3 Mandatory homeland security programs include Agriculture
Quarantine and Inspections, Border Protection, and Immigration Enforcement.
4 Discretionary fee-funded homeland security programs include
Visa Processing, Airport Security, and Social Security physical and computer
security measures.
Table S–7. Adjustments of 2004 Discretionary Levels
(Budget authority in billions of dollars)
|
|
|
| CBO Estimate of 2004 Likely
Enacted |
786.0 |
|
|
|
| Estimating differences: |
|
| Receipt estimates in housing
and homeland security programs |
-0.9 |
| Differences due to scoring
interpretations |
-0.3 |
| Other technical scoring
differences |
0.1 |
| OMB Estimate of 2004 Enacted |
784.9 |
|
|
|
| Post-enactment adjustments: |
|
| Reclassifications and
technical reestimates: |
|
| Medicare administrative
costs for P.L. 108–173, shift mandatory to discretionary |
1.5 |
| Remove Project BioShield
from discretionary category |
-0.9 |
| Rebase appropriations
changes to Justice and USDA mandatory programs |
1.5 |
| Technical revisions |
0.3 |
| Revised OMB Estimate of
2004 Enacted Current Year Levels |
787.3 |
|
|
|
Table S–8. Mandatory Proposals
(In millions of dollars)
| |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
Total |
| 2005–2009 |
2005–2014 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Agriculture: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Forest Service Recreation
Fee Proposal |
— |
— |
-17 |
-12 |
-7 |
-2 |
-38 |
— |
| Extend expiring National
School Lunch Act provisions |
11 |
18 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
18 |
18 |
| Subtotal, Agriculture |
11 |
18 |
-17 |
-12 |
-7 |
-2 |
-20 |
18 |
| Education: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Reform the Federal Student
Loan Programs to Help Students Afford College: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Expand Teacher Loan Forgiveness |
— |
227 |
50 |
52 |
54 |
57 |
440 |
763 |
| Retain Variable Interest
Rates |
— |
— |
103 |
200 |
198 |
175 |
676 |
1,783 |
| Increase Loan Limits for
First-Year Students from $2,625 to $3,000 |
— |
20 |
58 |
75 |
78 |
82 |
313 |
775 |
| Standardize FFEL and DL
Extended Repayment Plans |
— |
184 |
112 |
-33 |
41 |
86 |
390 |
1,022 |
| Additional Benefits to
Students |
— |
251 |
286 |
373 |
293 |
287 |
1,490 |
3,062 |
| Subtotal |
— |
682 |
609 |
667 |
664 |
687 |
3,309 |
7,405 |
| Standardize Guaranty Agency
Insurance Premium |
— |
-497 |
-352 |
-337 |
-339 |
-341 |
-1,866 |
-3,952 |
| Eliminate Rollover of
Tax-Exempt Special Allowance |
— |
-490 |
-448 |
-418 |
-430 |
-456 |
-2,242 |
-4,949 |
| Other Student Loan Reforms |
— |
116 |
-65 |
-92 |
-95 |
-90 |
-226 |
-807 |
| Subtotal, Education |
— |
-189 |
-256 |
-180 |
-200 |
-200 |
-1,025 |
-2,303 |
| Energy: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Reclassification of Nuclear
Waste Disposal Fees as discretionary |
— |
749 |
754 |
757 |
767 |
767 |
3,794 |
7,655 |
| Arctic National Wildlife
Refuge (ANWR), lease bonuses |
— |
— |
-1,200 |
— |
— |
— |
-1,200 |
-1,200 |
| Subtotal, Energy |
— |
749 |
-446 |
757 |
767 |
767 |
2,594 |
6,455 |
| Health
and Human Services (HHS): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Medicaid/State Children’s
Health Insurance Program: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Medicaid proposals |
175 |
889 |
846 |
959 |
1,098 |
1,252 |
5,044 |
7,863 |
| Program Integrity |
— |
-1,542 |
-1,737 |
-1,924 |
-2,120 |
-2,327 |
-9,650 |
-23,553 |
| Temporary Assistance for
Needy Families Reauthorization |
96 |
279 |
328 |
337 |
350 |
361 |
1,657 |
3,390 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Healthy Marriages: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Healthy Marriage and Family
Formation Initiative |
-118 |
-59 |
13 |
38 |
40 |
40 |
72 |
272 |
| State-based Abstinence
Grants |
9 |
30 |
45 |
49 |
50 |
50 |
224 |
474 |
| Child Support Enforcement:
Increase Collections and Improve Program Effectiveness |
— |
-63 |
10 |
70 |
49 |
39 |
105 |
248 |
| Subtotal, Healthy marriages |
-109 |
-92 |
68 |
157 |
139 |
129 |
401 |
994 |
| Foster Care: Clarify Statutory
Eligibility Definition |
— |
-67 |
-69 |
-72 |
-75 |
-78 |
-361 |
-807 |
| Child Welfare Program
Option |
— |
7 |
90 |
120 |
-26 |
-195 |
-4 |
— |
| Compensation for 2000–01
Military Wage Credits (non-paygo): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Payment to Medicare trust
funds |
— |
181 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
181 |
181 |
| Medicare trust fund receipts |
— |
-181 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
-181 |
-181 |
| Subtotal, HHS |
163 |
-526 |
-474 |
-422 |
-633 |
-857 |
-2,912 |
-12,113 |
| Homeland
Security: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Extend Bureau of Customs
and Border Protection’s Fees |
— |
-820 |
-1,391 |
-1,448 |
-1,507 |
-1,570 |
-6,736 |
-15,691 |
| Interior: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| ANWR, lease bonuses: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| State of Alaska’s
share: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Receipts |
— |
— |
-1,201 |
-1 |
-101 |
-1 |
-1,304 |
-1,359 |
| Expenditures |
— |
— |
1,201 |
1 |
101 |
1 |
1,304 |
1,359 |
| Federal share |
— |
— |
-1 |
-1 |
-101 |
-1 |
-104 |
-159 |
| Permanent Recreation Fee
Authority |
— |
— |
-19 |
-3 |
32 |
70 |
80 |
465 |
| Correct trust accounting
deficiencies in individual Indian money investments |
6 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
| Increase Indian Gaming
Commission Fees 1 |
— |
— |
3 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
17 |
42 |
| Bureau of Land Management
Land Sale Authority: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Receipts |
— |
-24 |
-33 |
-38 |
-48 |
-48 |
-191 |
-471 |
| Expenditures |
— |
6 |
17 |
25 |
32 |
38 |
118 |
379 |
| Subtotal, Interior |
6 |
-18 |
-33 |
-13 |
-80 |
64 |
-80 |
256 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Labor: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Unemployment Insurance
fiscal integrity |
— |
-11 |
-23 |
-35 |
-37 |
-39 |
-145 |
-371 |
| Federal Employees’
Compensation Act |
— |
-7 |
-15 |
-15 |
-22 |
-28 |
-87 |
-290 |
| Pension Benefit Guaranty
Corporation |
— |
— |
-39 |
-160 |
-154 |
-163 |
-516 |
-310 |
| Black Lung Disability
Trust Fund debt refinancing (non-paygo): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Black Lung Disability
Trust Fund |
— |
2,764 |
-517 |
-512 |
-506 |
-507 |
722 |
-2,121 |
| Interest receipts on repayable
advances |
— |
-2,764 |
517 |
512 |
506 |
507 |
-722 |
2,121 |
| Subtotal, Labor |
— |
-18 |
-77 |
-210 |
-213 |
-230 |
-748 |
-971 |
| Treasury: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Outlay effects of refundable
tax credits: 1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Health care tax credit |
— |
82 |
3,760 |
5,041 |
6,388 |
7,133 |
22,404 |
65,355 |
| Child tax credit |
— |
— |
-145 |
-147 |
-149 |
-150 |
-591 |
-1,368 |
| Earned income tax credit |
— |
-440 |
131 |
130 |
119 |
134 |
74 |
643 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Contingent offset for
refundable portion of the health care tax credit |
— |
-82 |
-3,760 |
-5,041 |
-6,388 |
-7,133 |
-22,404 |
-65,355 |
| Move Asset Forfeiture
Fund to the Department of Justice: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Treasury Asset Forfeiture
Fund |
— |
-251 |
-251 |
-251 |
-251 |
-251 |
-1,255 |
-2,510 |
| Justice Asset Forfeiture
Fund |
— |
251 |
251 |
251 |
251 |
251 |
1,255 |
2,510 |
| Extend the Rum Carryover
for Puerto Rico |
58 |
79 |
21 |
— |
— |
— |
100 |
100 |
| Subtotal, Treasury |
58 |
-361 |
7 |
-17 |
-30 |
-16 |
-417 |
-625 |
| Veterans
Affairs: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Reverse Allen Case providing
compensation for drug |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| and alcohol abuse-related
disabilities |
-51 |
-162 |
-235 |
-259 |
-304 |
-321 |
-1,281 |
-3,130 |
| Limit home loan guarantees
to one-time use |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
91 |
| Eliminate the “45
Day Rule” for Death Pension |
— |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
6 |
13 |
| Accelerated education
benefit payment |
— |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
| Subtotal, Veterans Affairs |
-51 |
-161 |
-234 |
-258 |
-303 |
-320 |
-1,275 |
-3,026 |
| Army
Corps of Engineers: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Additional user fees |
— |
-7 |
-7 |
-7 |
-7 |
-7 |
-35 |
-70 |
| Program expenditure of
fees |
— |
— |
6 |
7 |
7 |
7 |
27 |
62 |
| Subtotal, Army Corps of
Engineers |
— |
-7 |
-1 |
— |
— |
— |
-8 |
-8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Federal
Communications Commission (FCC): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Analog Spectrum Lease
Fee |
— |
— |
— |
-500 |
-500 |
-480 |
-1,480 |
-2,580 |
| Extend Spectrum Auction
Authority and Authorize Fees |
— |
— |
-50 |
1,850 |
1,700 |
-3,100 |
400 |
-5,525 |
| Spectrum Relocation Fund |
— |
— |
200 |
400 |
500 |
600 |
1,700 |
2,500 |
| Subtotal, FCC |
— |
— |
150 |
1,750 |
1,700 |
-2,980 |
620 |
-5,605 |
| Federal
Deposit Insurance Corporation: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Merge Bank Insurance Fund
and Savings Association |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Insurance Fund |
— |
— |
568 |
742 |
-60 |
-63 |
1,187 |
861 |
| Social
Security Administration (SSA): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Cross-program recovery
of SSA overpayments: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| On-Budget |
— |
-49 |
-69 |
-48 |
-11 |
-8 |
-185 |
-211 |
| Off-Budget (non-paygo) |
— |
-2 |
-3 |
-3 |
-3 |
-3 |
-14 |
-27 |
| Close Loophole that Allows
Some Workers to Avoid Government Pension Offset (non-paygo) |
— |
-1 |
-3 |
-5 |
-7 |
-9 |
-25 |
-109 |
| Reduce Improper Payments
by Requiring Reporting of Non-Social Security Covered Pension Income (non-paygo) |
— |
— |
— |
-215 |
-323 |
-282 |
-820 |
-2,313 |
| Compensation for 2000–01
Military Wage Credits (non-paygo): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| On-Budget |
— |
759 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
759 |
759 |
| Off-Budget |
— |
-759 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
-759 |
-759 |
| Supplemental Security
Income Pre-Effectuation Reviews and Other Technical Adjustments |
— |
-3 |
-26 |
-58 |
-99 |
-142 |
-328 |
-1,803 |
| Extend SSI Eligibility
to Refugees and Asylees to eight Years after Entry |
— |
64 |
68 |
74 |
— |
— |
206 |
206 |
| Mandate Expedited, Electronic
Reporting of Death Information by States: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| On-Budget |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
| Off-Budget (non-paygo) |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
| Subtotal, SSA |
* |
9 |
-33 |
-255 |
-443 |
-444 |
-1,166 |
-4,257 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Indirect
Impact of Other Proposals (Third Scorecard): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Power Marketing Administrations
to directly fund Corps of Engineers and Bureau of Reclamation’s hydro
operations and maintenance expenses and other proposals |
— |
168 |
163 |
150 |
147 |
160 |
788 |
1,585 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Total,
Mandatory Proposals |
187 |
-1,156 |
-2,074 |
584 |
-862 |
-5,691 |
-9,199 |
-35,424 |
| Paygo |
181 |
-1,321 |
-2,231 |
657 |
-676 |
-5,557 |
-9,128 |
-34,560 |
| Non-Paygo |
6 |
165 |
157 |
-73 |
-186 |
-134 |
-71 |
-864 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Spending effects of permanent
extension of 2001 and 2003 tax cuts, included in baseline: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Child tax credit 1 |
— |
— |
4,265 |
4,131 |
4,003 |
3,936 |
16,335 |
47,809 |
| Earned income tax credit 1 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
5,676 |
| Total |
— |
— |
4,265 |
4,131 |
4,003 |
3,936 |
16,335 |
53,485 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 Affects both receipts and outlays.
Only the outlay effect is shown here.
* $500,000 or less.
Table S–9. Effect of Proposals on Receipts
(In millions of dollars)
| |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
Total |
| 2005–2009 |
2005–2014 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Make
Permanent the Tax Cuts Enacted in 2001 and 2003, assumed in the baseline: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Extend
certain provisions through 2010: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Child tax credit 1 |
— |
-2,166 |
-8,930 |
-9,023 |
-9,067 |
-8,325 |
-37,511 |
-42,079 |
| Marriage penalty relief |
— |
-5,318 |
-6,634 |
-3,883 |
-1,850 |
-423 |
-18,108 |
-18,108 |
| 10 percent individual
income tax rate bracket |
— |
-4,005 |
-5,981 |
-6,435 |
-4,036 |
-2,956 |
-23,413 |
-27,343 |
| Total, extend certain
provisions through 2010 |
— |
-11,489 |
-21,545 |
-19,341 |
-14,953 |
-11,704 |
-79,032 |
-87,530 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Permanently
extend certain provisions: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Dividends tax rate structure |
— |
498 |
486 |
485 |
642 |
-17,272 |
-15,161 |
-81,280 |
| Capital gains tax rate
structure |
— |
— |
— |
— |
-5,268 |
-7,366 |
-12,634 |
-49,970 |
| Expensing for small business |
— |
226 |
-3,336 |
-5,711 |
-4,102 |
-3,205 |
-16,128 |
-24,798 |
| Marginal individual income
tax rate reductions |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
-395,269 |
| Child tax credit 2 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
-72,786 |
| Marriage penalty relief 3 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
-32,426 |
| Education incentives |
— |
-11 |
-16 |
-22 |
-24 |
-37 |
-110 |
-6,758 |
| Repeal of estate and generation-skipping
transfer taxes, and modification of gift taxes |
— |
-1,000 |
-1,609 |
-1,732 |
-1,977 |
-2,244 |
-8,562 |
-180,111 |
| Modifications of pension
plans |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
-1,804 |
| Other incentives for families
and children |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
-3,531 |
| Total, permanent extensions |
— |
-287 |
-4,475 |
-6,980 |
-10,729 |
-30,124 |
-52,595 |
-848,733 |
| Total, extensions of tax
cuts enacted in 2001 and 2003, assumed in baseline |
— |
-11,776 |
-26,020 |
-26,321 |
-25,682 |
-41,828 |
-131,627 |
-936,263 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Tax
Incentives: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Simplify
and encourage saving: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Expand tax-free savings
opportunities |
— |
3,949 |
8,192 |
5,488 |
2,798 |
685 |
21,112 |
5,558 |
| Consolidate employer-based
savings accounts |
— |
-214 |
-318 |
-337 |
-358 |
-380 |
-1,607 |
-11,763 |
| Establish Individual Development
Accounts (IDAs) |
— |
-134 |
-286 |
-326 |
-300 |
-255 |
-1,301 |
-1,380 |
| Total simplify and encourage
saving |
— |
3,601 |
7,588 |
4,825 |
2,140 |
50 |
18,204 |
-7,585 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Invest
in health care: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Provide refundable tax
credit for the purchase of health insurance 4 |
— |
-24 |
-1,417 |
-1,059 |
-854 |
-632 |
-3,986 |
-4,700 |
| Provide an above-the-line
deduction for high-deductible insurance premiums |
— |
-173 |
-1,764 |
-2,014 |
-2,292 |
-2,501 |
-8,744 |
-24,775 |
| Provide an above-the-line
deduction for long-term care insurance premiums |
— |
-68 |
-489 |
-805 |
-1,572 |
-2,435 |
-5,369 |
-21,428 |
| Provide an additional
personal exemption to home caregivers of family members |
— |
-71 |
-460 |
-398 |
-398 |
-415 |
-1,742 |
-3,759 |
| Allow the orphan drug
tax credit for certain pre-designation expenses |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
-1 |
-2 |
| Clarify the Health Coverage
Tax Credit 5 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
| Total invest in health
care |
— |
-336 |
-4,130 |
-4,276 |
-5,116 |
-5,983 |
-19,841 |
-54,662 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Provide
incentives for charitable giving: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Provide charitable contribution
deduction for nonitemizers |
— |
-1,248 |
-1,103 |
-1,111 |
-1,144 |
-1,173 |
-5,779 |
-12,036 |
| Permit tax-free withdrawals
from IRAs for charitable contributions |
-68 |
-450 |
-341 |
-327 |
-330 |
-329 |
-1,777 |
-3,498 |
| Expand and increase the
enhanced charitable deduction for contributions of food inventory |
— |
-42 |
-87 |
-96 |
-106 |
-116 |
-447 |
-1,224 |
| Reform excise tax based
on investment income of private foundations |
— |
-133 |
-83 |
-84 |
-86 |
-90 |
-476 |
-1,009 |
| Modify tax on unrelated
business taxable income of charitable remainder trusts |
— |
-8 |
-5 |
-6 |
-6 |
-6 |
-31 |
-68 |
| Modify basis adjustment
to stock of S corporations contributing appreciated property |
— |
-21 |
-13 |
-15 |
-18 |
-21 |
-88 |
-239 |
| Repeal the $150 million
limitation on qualified 501(c)(3) bonds |
— |
-8 |
-10 |
-11 |
-10 |
-10 |
-49 |
-94 |
| Repeal certain restrictions
on the use of qualified 501(c)(3) bonds for residential rental property |
— |
-5 |
-6 |
-12 |
-18 |
-25 |
-66 |
-299 |
| Total provide incentives
for charitable giving |
-68 |
-1,915 |
-1,648 |
-1,662 |
-1,718 |
-1,770 |
-8,713 |
-18,467 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Strengthen
education: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Extend, increase, and
expand the above-the-line deduction for qualified out-of-pocket classroom
expenses |
-23 |
-229 |
-240 |
-249 |
-260 |
-263 |
-1,241 |
-2,611 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Encourage
telecommuting: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Exclude from income the
value of employer-provided computers, software, and peripherals |
— |
-27 |
-45 |
-43 |
-48 |
-55 |
-218 |
-668 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Increase
housing opportunities: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Provide tax credit for
developers of affordable single-family housing |
— |
-7 |
-81 |
-327 |
-776 |
-1,352 |
-2,543 |
-16,409 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Protect
the environment: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Extend permanently expensing
of brownfields remediation costs |
-178 |
-243 |
-212 |
-201 |
-191 |
-181 |
-1,028 |
-1,858 |
| Exclude 50 percent of
gains from the sale of property for conservation purposes |
— |
-45 |
-88 |
-101 |
-58 |
— |
-292 |
-292 |
| Total protect the environment |
-178 |
-288 |
-300 |
-302 |
-249 |
-181 |
-1,320 |
-2,150 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Increase
energy production and promote energy conservation: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Extend and modify the
tax credit for producing electricity from certain sources |
— |
-401 |
-337 |
-305 |
-278 |
-139 |
-1,460 |
-2,175 |
| Provide tax credit for
residential solar energy systems |
— |
-12 |
-11 |
-17 |
-23 |
-10 |
-73 |
-73 |
| Modify treatment of nuclear
decommissioning funds |
— |
-193 |
-147 |
-154 |
-162 |
-169 |
-825 |
-1,767 |
| Provide tax credit for
purchase of certain hybrid and fuel cell vehicles |
— |
-79 |
-223 |
-376 |
-556 |
-542 |
-1,776 |
-2,211 |
| Provide tax credit for
energy produced from landfill gas |
— |
-34 |
-67 |
-91 |
-104 |
-117 |
-413 |
-737 |
| Provide tax credit for
combined heat and power property |
— |
-154 |
-107 |
-64 |
-62 |
-13 |
-400 |
-349 |
| Extend excise tax exemption
(credit) for ethanol 5 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Permit electric utilities
to defer gain from sales of electric transmission property |
-11 |
-475 |
-615 |
-532 |
-227 |
100 |
-1,749 |
361 |
| Modify tax treatment of
certain income of electric cooperatives |
— |
-14 |
-20 |
-21 |
-22 |
-23 |
-100 |
-235 |
| Total increase energy
production and promote energy conservation |
-11 |
-1,362 |
-1,527 |
-1,560 |
-1,434 |
-913 |
-6,796 |
-7,186 |
| Total tax incentives |
-280 |
-563 |
-383 |
-3,594 |
-7,461 |
-10,467 |
-22,468 |
-109,738 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Simplify
the Tax Laws for Families: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Establish uniform definition
of a qualifying child 6 |
— |
-38 |
-34 |
-29 |
-20 |
-9 |
-130 |
-142 |
| Simplify adoption tax
benefits |
— |
-4 |
-39 |
-40 |
-42 |
-43 |
-168 |
-411 |
| Eliminate household maintenance
test for head-of-household filing status |
— |
-123 |
-297 |
-284 |
-285 |
-281 |
-1,270 |
-2,555 |
| Reduce computational complexity
of refundable child tax credit 7 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
21 |
| Simplify EITC eligibility
requirements regarding filing status, presence of children, investment income,
and work and immigration status 8 |
— |
64 |
-36 |
-35 |
-32 |
-33 |
-72 |
-272 |
| Simplify the taxation
of dependents |
— |
-11 |
-25 |
-20 |
-25 |
-43 |
-124 |
-498 |
| Consolidate rules for
lifetime learning credit, Hope credit, and education expense deductions, and
simplify other higher education provisions |
— |
-19 |
-94 |
-311 |
-294 |
-282 |
-1,000 |
-2,558 |
| Allow annual reporting
and payment of combined State and Federal unemployment insurance taxes by
employers of household employees |
— |
-20 |
-1 |
-1 |
-1 |
-1 |
-24 |
-30 |
| Simplify taxation of capital
gains on collectibles, small business stock, and other assets |
— |
-4 |
5 |
11 |
-1 |
-17 |
-6 |
-35 |
| Total simplify the tax
laws for families |
— |
-155 |
-521 |
-709 |
-700 |
-709 |
-2,794 |
-6,480 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Strengthen
the Employer-Based Pension System: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ensure fair treatment
of older workers in cash balance conversions and protect defined benefit plans |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
2,373 |
| Improve the accuracy of
pension liability measures |
8,537 |
12,297 |
7,340 |
3,042 |
-1,586 |
-5,467 |
15,626 |
-15,869 |
| Total strengthen the employer-based
pension system |
8,537 |
12,297 |
7,340 |
3,042 |
-1,586 |
-5,467 |
15,626 |
-13,496 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Close
Loopholes and Improve Tax Compliance: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Combat abusive tax avoidance
transactions |
— |
46 |
63 |
85 |
113 |
128 |
435 |
1,071 |
| Limit related party interest
deductions |
— |
-51 |
93 |
146 |
203 |
265 |
656 |
3,116 |
| Modify qualification rules
for tax-exempt property-casualty insurance companies |
— |
67 |
114 |
116 |
119 |
121 |
537 |
1,184 |
| Prevent abusive overvaluations
on donations of patents and other intellectual property |
— |
432 |
270 |
273 |
277 |
287 |
1,539 |
3,207 |
| Prevent overvaluations
and other abuses in charitable donations of used vehicles |
— |
158 |
102 |
105 |
108 |
112 |
585 |
1,197 |
| Reform the treatment for
leasing transactions with tax-indifferent parties |
340 |
1,591 |
2,712 |
3,285 |
3,565 |
3,766 |
14,919 |
33,385 |
| Ensure foreign subsidiaries
of U.S. companies cannot inappropriately avoid U.S. tax on foreign earnings
invested in U.S. property through use of the exception for bank deposits |
— |
24 |
21 |
22 |
22 |
23 |
112 |
234 |
| Modify tax rules for individuals
who give up U.S. citizenship or green card status |
1 |
23 |
20 |
22 |
24 |
25 |
114 |
272 |
| Require increased reporting
for noncash charitable contributions |
— |
49 |
31 |
32 |
33 |
34 |
179 |
367 |
| Clarify and simplify qualified
tuition programs |
— |
7 |
12 |
13 |
13 |
17 |
62 |
194 |
| Total close loopholes
and improve tax compliance |
341 |
2,346 |
3,438 |
4,099 |
4,477 |
4,778 |
19,138 |
44,227 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Tax
Administration, Unemployment Insurance, and Other: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Improve
tax administration: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Implement IRS administrative
reforms |
— |
52 |
47 |
46 |
47 |
49 |
241 |
505 |
| Increase continuous levy
for certain Federal payments |
— |
10 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
20 |
87 |
202 |
| Permit private collection
agencies to engage in specific, limited activities to support IRS collection
efforts |
— |
— |
47 |
151 |
190 |
153 |
541 |
1,531 |
| Total improve tax administration |
— |
62 |
112 |
216 |
257 |
222 |
869 |
2,238 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Strengthen
financial integrity of unemployment insurance: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Strengthen the financial
integrity of the unemployment insurance system by reducing tax avoidance and
improper benefit payments 9 |
— |
— |
-2 |
108 |
142 |
120 |
368 |
-216 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Other
proposals: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Increase Indian gaming
activity fees |
— |
— |
4 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
18 |
43 |
| Total tax administration,
unemployment insurance, and other |
— |
62 |
114 |
328 |
404 |
347 |
1,255 |
2,065 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Reauthorize
Funding for the Highway Trust Fund: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Deposit full amount of
excise tax imposed on gasohol in the Highway Trust Fund 9 |
— |
— |
648 |
666 |
681 |
699 |
2,694 |
6,443 |
| Impose additional registration
requirements on the transfer of tax-exempt fuel by pipeline, vessel, or barge 9 |
— |
76 |
93 |
96 |
91 |
87 |
443 |
747 |
| Repeal installment method
for payment of heavy highway vehicle use tax 9 |
407 |
30 |
31 |
32 |
31 |
32 |
156 |
341 |
| Allow tax-exempt financing
for private highway projects and rail-truck transfer facilities |
— |
-20 |
-49 |
-77 |
-94 |
-97 |
-337 |
-619 |
| Total reauthorize funding
for the Highway Trust Fund |
407 |
86 |
723 |
717 |
709 |
721 |
2,956 |
6,912 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Expiring
Provisions (excludes proposals assumed in the baseline): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Minimum tax relief for
individuals |
-86 |
-9,383 |
-13,881 |
— |
— |
— |
-23,264 |
-23,264 |
| Research & Experimentation
(R&E) tax credit |
-672 |
-3,610 |
-5,187 |
-6,291 |
-7,129 |
-7,775 |
-29,992 |
-78,351 |
| Repeal the disallowance
of certain deductions of mutual life insurance companies |
— |
-85 |
-51 |
-48 |
-45 |
-43 |
-272 |
-471 |
| Combined work opportunity/welfare-to-work
tax credit |
-12 |
-187 |
-268 |
-162 |
-86 |
-46 |
-749 |
-768 |
| DC tax incentives |
-47 |
-97 |
-54 |
-7 |
-9 |
-24 |
-191 |
-363 |
| Authority to issue Qualified
Zone Academy Bonds |
-2 |
-9 |
-15 |
-22 |
-28 |
-30 |
-104 |
-254 |
| Deduction for corporate
donations of computer technology |
— |
-180 |
-46 |
— |
— |
— |
-226 |
-226 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Net operating loss offset
of 100 percent of alternative minimum taxable income |
-1,326 |
-755 |
-101 |
203 |
154 |
129 |
-370 |
82 |
| IRS user fees |
— |
32 |
44 |
45 |
46 |
47 |
214 |
464 |
| Disclosure of tax return
information related to terrorist activity 5 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
| Abandoned mine reclamation
fees |
— |
239 |
245 |
252 |
256 |
262 |
1,254 |
2,550 |
| Authority to issue Liberty
Zone Bonds |
— |
-8 |
-27 |
-45 |
-62 |
-79 |
-221 |
-616 |
| Excise tax on coal 9 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
180 |
| Total extend other expiring
provisions |
-2,145 |
-14,043 |
-19,341 |
-6,075 |
-6,903 |
-7,559 |
-53,921 |
-101,037 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Promote
Trade: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Implement free trade agreements
with Morocco, Australia, and Central American countries 9 |
— |
-389 |
-583 |
-675 |
-749 |
-831 |
-3,227 |
-8,305 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Total
budget proposals, including proposals assumed in the baseline |
6,860 |
-12,135 |
-35,233 |
-29,188 |
-37,491 |
-61,015 |
-175,062 |
-1,122,115 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Total
budget proposals, excluding proposals assumed in the baseline |
6,860 |
-359 |
-9,213 |
-2,867 |
-11,809 |
-19,187 |
-43,435 |
-185,852 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 Affects
both receipts and outlays. Only the receipt effect is shown here. The outlay
effect is $4,265 million for 2006, $4,131 million for 2007, $4,003 million
for 2008, $3,936 million for 2009, $16,335 million for 2005–2009 and
$18,906 million for 2005–2014.
2 Affects
both receipts and outlays. Only the receipt effect is shown here. The outlay
effect is $28,903 million for 2005–2014.
3 Affects
both receipts and outlays. Only the receipt effect is shown here. The outlay
effect is $5,676 million for 2005–2014.
4 Affects both receipts
and outlays. Only the receipt effect is shown here. The outlay effect is
$82 million for 2005, $3,760 million for 2006, $5,041 million for 2007, $6,388
million for 2008, $7,133 million for 2009, $22,404 million for 2005–2009
and $65,355 million for 2005–2014.
5 Policy proposal with a receipt effect of
zero.
6 Affects both receipts and outlays. Only the
receipt effect is shown here. The outlay effect is $36 million for 2006,
$36 million for 2007, $36 million for 2008, $37 million for 2009, $145 million
for 2005–2009 and $333 million for 2005–2014.
7 Affects both receipts and outlays.
Only the receipt effect is shown here. The outlay effect is -$181 million
for 2006, -$183 million for 2007, -$185 million for 2008, -$187 million for
2009, -$736 million for 2005–2009 and -$1,701 million for 2005–2014.
8 Affects both receipts and outlays.
Only the receipt effect is shown here. The outlay effect is -$440 million
for 2005, $131 million for 2006, $130 million for 2007, $119 million for 2008,
$134 million for 2009, $74 million for 2005–2009 and $643 million for
2005–2014.
9 Net of income offsets.
* $500,000 or less.
Table S–10. Receipts by Source—Summary
(In billions of dollars)
| Source |
2003 Actual |
Estimate |
| 2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Individual income taxes |
793.7 |
765.4 |
873.8 |
956.5 |
1,049.3 |
1,133.4 |
1,209.9 |
| Corporation income taxes |
131.8 |
168.7 |
230.2 |
250.0 |
251.0 |
252.1 |
255.7 |
| Social insurance and retirement |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| receipts |
713.0 |
732.4 |
793.9 |
834.0 |
878.7 |
918.8 |
960.2 |
| (On-budget) |
(189.1) |
(198.4) |
(218.8) |
(230.9) |
(242.4) |
(251.2) |
(261.2) |
| (Off-budget) |
(523.8) |
(534.0) |
(575.1) |
(603.1) |
(636.3) |
(667.6) |
(698.9) |
| Excise taxes |
67.5 |
70.8 |
73.2 |
75.8 |
77.9 |
80.0 |
82.2 |
| Estate and gift taxes |
22.0 |
23.9 |
21.4 |
23.9 |
21.5 |
22.2 |
23.6 |
| Customs duties |
19.9 |
22.6 |
22.1 |
24.4 |
26.2 |
27.6 |
30.0 |
| Miscellaneous receipts |
34.5 |
34.3 |
36.5 |
41.2 |
46.2 |
51.2 |
54.8 |
| Adjustment for revenue
uncertainty 1 |
— |
-20.0 |
-15.0 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Total, receipts |
1,782.3 |
1,798.1 |
2,036.3 |
2,205.7 |
2,350.8 |
2,485.3 |
2,616.4 |
| (On-budget) |
(1,258.5) |
(1,264.1) |
(1,461.2) |
(1,602.5) |
(1,714.5) |
(1,817.7) |
(1,917.5) |
| (Off-budget) |
(523.8) |
(534.0) |
(575.1) |
(603.1) |
(636.3) |
(667.6) |
(698.9) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 These amounts reflect an additional adjustment to receipts
beyond what the economic and tax models forecast and have been made
in the interest of cautious and prudent forecasting.
Table S–11. Comparison of Economic Assumptions
(Calendar years)
| |
Projections |
|
Average |
| |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
|
2004–2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| GDP
(billions of current dollars): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| CBO January |
11,629 |
12,243 |
12,814 |
13,389 |
14,023 |
14,686 |
|
|
| Blue Chip Consensus January 1 |
11,660 |
12,291 |
12,929 |
13,588 |
14,292 |
15,045 |
|
|
| 2005 Budget |
11,612 |
12,187 |
12,796 |
13,449 |
14,151 |
14,890 |
|
|
| Real
GDP (chain-weighted): 2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| CBO January |
4.8 |
4.2 |
3.1 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
|
3.4 |
| Blue Chip Consensus January 1 |
4.6 |
3.7 |
3.3 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
|
3.5 |
| 2005 Budget |
4.4 |
3.6 |
3.4 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
|
3.5 |
| Chain-weighted
GDP Price Index: 2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| CBO January |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
|
1.5 |
| Blue Chip Consensus January 1 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
|
1.8 |
| 2005 Budget |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
|
1.6 |
| Consumer
Price Index (all-urban): 2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| CBO January |
1.6 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
|
2.0 |
| Blue Chip Consensus January 1 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
|
2.2 |
| 2005 Budget |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
|
2.0 |
| Unemployment
rate: 3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| CBO January |
5.8 |
5.3 |
5.0 |
5.1 |
5.2 |
5.2 |
|
5.3 |
| Blue Chip Consensus January 1 |
5.8 |
5.5 |
5.4 |
5.3 |
5.3 |
5.2 |
|
5.4 |
| 2005 Budget |
5.6 |
5.4 |
5.2 |
5.1 |
5.1 |
5.1 |
|
5.3 |
| Interest
rates: 3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 91–day
Treasury bills: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| CBO January |
1.3 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
4.6 |
4.6 |
4.6 |
|
3.7 |
| Blue Chip Consensus January 1 |
1.3 |
2.6 |
3.7 |
3.9 |
4.1 |
4.1 |
|
3.3 |
| 2005 Budget |
1.3 |
2.4 |
3.3 |
4.0 |
4.3 |
4.4 |
|
3.3 |
| 10–year
Treasury notes: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| CBO January |
4.6 |
5.4 |
5.5 |
5.5 |
5.5 |
5.5 |
|
5.3 |
| Blue Chip Consensus January 1 |
4.7 |
5.4 |
5.5 |
5.6 |
5.6 |
5.6 |
|
5.4 |
| 2005 Budget |
4.6 |
5.0 |
5.4 |
5.6 |
5.8 |
5.8 |
|
5.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 January 2004 Blue Chip Consensus forecast for 2004 and 2005;
Blue Chip October 2003 long run extension for 2006–2009.
2 Year-over-year
percent change.
3 Annual averages, percent.
Sources: Congressional Budget Office; Aspen Publishers, Inc.,
Blue Chip Economic Indicators.
All forecasts reflect December 2003 comprehensive revisions to
the National Income and Product Accounts.
Table S–12. Budget Summary by Category
(In billions of dollars)
| |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
Total |
| |
2005–2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Outlays: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Discretionary: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Defense (DOD) |
388 |
433 |
429 |
415 |
426 |
447 |
467 |
2,183 |
| Nondefense |
438 |
475 |
485 |
478 |
479 |
476 |
476 |
2,393 |
| Total, Discretionary |
826 |
908 |
914 |
892 |
904 |
923 |
942 |
4,576 |
| Mandatory: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Social Security |
470 |
492 |
510 |
529 |
552 |
576 |
608 |
2,775 |
| Medicare |
246 |
266 |
290 |
336 |
372 |
393 |
418 |
1,809 |
| Medicaid and SCHIP |
165 |
183 |
188 |
198 |
213 |
232 |
251 |
1,081 |
| Other |
298 |
314 |
320 |
305 |
305 |
325 |
335 |
1,590 |
| Total, Mandatory |
1,179 |
1,254 |
1,308 |
1,368 |
1,441 |
1,527 |
1,612 |
7,256 |
| Net interest |
153 |
156 |
178 |
213 |
246 |
275 |
299 |
1,211 |
| Total Outlays |
2,158 |
2,319 |
2,400 |
2,473 |
2,592 |
2,724 |
2,853 |
13,043 |
| Receipts |
1,782 |
1,798 |
2,036 |
2,206 |
2,351 |
2,485 |
2,616 |
11,694 |
| Deficit 1 |
-375 |
-521 |
-364 |
-268 |
-241 |
-239 |
-237 |
-1,349 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| On-budget deficit |
-536 |
-675 |
-543 |
-470 |
-466 |
-487 |
-501 |
-2,466 |
| Off-budget surplus |
161 |
154 |
179 |
202 |
225 |
248 |
263 |
1,117 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 The
Budget incorporates the HHS actuaries' estimates for the Medicare Prescription
Drug, Improvement, and Modernization Act of 2003. Because CBO's 10–year
cost estimates of this bill were significantly below the HHS actuaries' estimates
and because of the uncertainties involved in these estimates, Table S-13 also
includes deficit calculations that reflect the lower CBO estimates.
Table S–13. Outlay Impact of Prescription Drug and Medicare
Improvement Act of 2003 (P.L. 108–173)
(Dollar amounts in billions)
| |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
Total |
| |
2004–2008 |
2004–2013 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Department of Health and
Human Services (HHS) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Actuaries’ Estimate 1 |
8 |
13 |
43 |
56 |
58 |
60 |
178 |
534 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| CBO Estimate 1 |
4 |
6 |
28 |
40 |
44 |
47 |
122 |
395 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| President’s Budget
Deficit Estimates |
-521 |
-364 |
-268 |
-241 |
-239 |
-237 |
-1,632 |
|
| As a percent of GDP |
-4.5% |
-3.0% |
-2.1% |
-1.8% |
-1.7% |
-1.6% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Administration’s
Deficit Adjusted for CBO Estimate 2 |
-516 |
-357 |
-251 |
-224 |
-223 |
-220 |
-1,571 |
|
| As a percent of GDP |
-4.5% |
-3.0% |
-2.0% |
-1.7% |
-1.6% |
-1.5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Note: See the HHS chapter in this volume for further information.
1 Excludes revenue effects, debt service, and intrabudgetary
transactions.
2 Includes debt service.
|
Explanation
of Difference in Estimates:
The largest portion of
the difference in these cost estimates is attributable to assumptions regarding
beneficiary participation, market behavior, and cost growth rates. Even small
differences in these assumptions can dramatically change the overall cost
estimates. For example, CBO and the Medicare actuaries both assume comparable
savings from private-plan management of the drug benefit. CBO, however, assumes
that these savings will be realized earlier; the Medicare actuaries assume
that it will take longer for plans to achieve maximum savings.
|
Table S–14. Current Services Baseline Summary by Category
(In billions of dollars)
| |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
Total |
| |
2005–2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Outlays: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Discretionary: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Defense (DOD) |
388 |
433 |
420 |
398 |
402 |
413 |
423 |
2,056 |
| Nondefense |
438 |
475 |
490 |
487 |
495 |
501 |
510 |
2,481 |
| Total, Discretionary |
826 |
908 |
910 |
885 |
896 |
914 |
933 |
4,537 |
| Mandatory: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Social Security |
470 |
492 |
510 |
529 |
552 |
577 |
608 |
2,776 |
| Medicare |
246 |
266 |
290 |
336 |
372 |
393 |
418 |
1,809 |
| Medicaid and SCHIP |
165 |
182 |
188 |
198 |
214 |
233 |
252 |
1,086 |
| Other |
298 |
314 |
320 |
306 |
303 |
325 |
339 |
1,593 |
| Total, Mandatory |
1,179 |
1,254 |
1,309 |
1,370 |
1,441 |
1,528 |
1,618 |
7,265 |
| Net interest |
153 |
156 |
178 |
213 |
245 |
273 |
296 |
1,206 |
| Total Outlays |
2,158 |
2,319 |
2,397 |
2,468 |
2,583 |
2,715 |
2,847 |
13,008 |
| Receipts |
1,782 |
1,791 |
2,037 |
2,215 |
2,354 |
2,497 |
2,636 |
11,738 |
| Surplus/deficit 1 |
-375 |
-527 |
-360 |
-253 |
-229 |
-218 |
-211 |
-1,270 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| On-budget deficit |
-536 |
-682 |
-539 |
-455 |
-453 |
-465 |
-474 |
-2,385 |
| Off-budget surplus |
161 |
154 |
179 |
202 |
224 |
247 |
263 |
1,115 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 The
Budget incorporates the HHS actuaries' estimates for the Medicare Prescription
Drug, Improvement, and Modernization Act of 2003. Because CBO's 10–year
cost estimates of this bill were significantly below the HHS actuaries' estimates
and because of the uncertainties involved in these estimates, Table S-13 also
includes deficit calculations that reflect the lower CBO estimates.
Table S–15. Impact of Budget Policy
(Dollar amounts in billions)
| |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
Total |
| |
2005–2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Current Services Baseline
Deficit |
-527 |
-360 |
-253 |
-229 |
-218 |
-211 |
-1,270 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Proposals: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Discretionary policy: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Department of Defense |
— |
-9 |
-17 |
-26 |
-36 |
-49 |
-137 |
| Homeland security |
— |
-1 |
-2 |
-4 |
-5 |
-6 |
-18 |
| Other spending |
* |
6 |
12 |
21 |
31 |
43 |
113 |
| Subtotal, discretionary |
* |
-4 |
-8 |
-9 |
-10 |
-12 |
-43 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Revenue proposals 1 |
7 |
* |
-13 |
-8 |
-19 |
-29 |
-69 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Mandatory proposals |
-* |
1 |
6 |
5 |
8 |
14 |
33 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 2005 Budget Deficit 2 |
-521 |
-364 |
-268 |
-241 |
-239 |
-237 |
-1,349 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Percent of GDP |
4.5% |
3.0% |
2.1% |
1.8% |
1.7% |
1.6% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 Includes
outlay impact of revenue proposals.
2 The
Budget incorporates the HHS actuaries' estimates for the Medicare Prescription
Drug, Improvement, and Modernization Act of 2003. Because
CBO's 10–year cost estimates of this bill were significantly below the
HHS actuaries' estimates and because of the uncertainties involved in these
estimates, Table S-13 also includes deficit calculations that reflect the
lower CBO estimates.
* $500 million or less.
Note: Each line includes debt service.
Table S–16. Baseline Adjustments
(In billions of dollars)
| |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
Total |
| 2005–2009 |
2005–2014 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Budget Enforcement Act
Baseline Deficits |
-527 |
-393 |
-305 |
-292 |
-288 |
-271 |
-1,549 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Extend certain tax provisions: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Permanently extend individual
income tax rate cuts |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
-395 |
| Permanently extend estate
and gift tax changes |
— |
-1 |
-2 |
-2 |
-2 |
-2 |
-9 |
-180 |
| Extend other provisions
of the 2001 and 2003 tax acts 1 |
— |
-11 |
-29 |
-29 |
-28 |
-44 |
-139 |
-414 |
| Subtotal, tax extenders |
— |
-12 |
-30 |
-30 |
-30 |
-46 |
-148 |
-990 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Assume emergencies are
one-time only |
— |
43 |
79 |
86 |
89 |
92 |
388 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Adjust pay factor to more
accurately reflect changes in pay costs |
— |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Debt service related to
all changes |
— |
* |
2 |
5 |
8 |
12 |
27 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Current Services Baseline
Deficit |
-527 |
-360 |
-253 |
-229 |
-218 |
-211 |
-1,270 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 Table S–9 provides a detailed
list of expiring tax provisions assumed in the baseline.
* $500 million or less.
Table S–17. Federal Government Financing and Debt
(Dollar amounts in billions)
| Function |
2003 Actual |
Estimate |
| 2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Financing: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Unified budget deficit
(-) |
-375 |
-521 |
-364 |
-268 |
-241 |
-239 |
-237 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Financing other than the
change in debt held by the public: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Net purchases (-)
of non-Federal securities by the National Railroad Retirement Investment Trust |
-20 |
-1 |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
| Changes in: 1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Treasury operating cash
balance |
26 |
-* |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
| Compensating balances 2 |
-5 |
22 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
| Checks outstanding, etc. 3 |
8 |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
| Seigniorage on coins |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
| Less: Net financing disbursements: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Direct loan financing
accounts |
-6 |
-12 |
-11 |
-19 |
-20 |
-20 |
-21 |
| Guaranteed loan financing
accounts |
-1 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Total, financing other
than the change in debt held by the public |
2 |
14 |
-8 |
-15 |
-18 |
-17 |
-18 |
| Total, requirement to
borrow from the public |
-373 |
-507 |
-371 |
-282 |
-259 |
-256 |
-255 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Change in debt held by
the public |
373 |
507 |
371 |
282 |
259 |
256 |
255 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Change
in Debt Subject to Statutory Limitation: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Change in debt held by
the public |
373 |
507 |
371 |
282 |
259 |
256 |
255 |
| Change in debt held by
Government accounts |
188 |
219 |
275 |
311 |
333 |
357 |
378 |
| Change in other factors |
15 |
* |
1 |
* |
1 |
1 |
1 |
| Total, change in debt
subject to statutory limitation |
576 |
727 |
647 |
594 |
592 |
614 |
634 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Debt
Subject to Statutory Limitation, End of Year: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Debt issued by Treasury |
6,733 |
7,459 |
8,106 |
8,700 |
9,292 |
9,906 |
10,540 |
| Adjustment for discount,
premium and coverage 4 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
| Total, debt subject to
statutory limitation 5 |
6,738 |
7,464 |
8,111 |
8,705 |
9,297 |
9,911 |
10,545 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Debt
Outstanding, End of Year: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Gross Federal debt: 6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Debt issued by Treasury |
6,733 |
7,459 |
8,106 |
8,700 |
9,292 |
9,906 |
10,540 |
| Debt issued by other agencies |
27 |
27 |
26 |
26 |
26 |
25 |
24 |
| Total, gross Federal debt |
6,760 |
7,486 |
8,133 |
8,726 |
9,318 |
9,931 |
10,564 |
| Held by: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Debt held by Government
accounts |
2,846 |
3,066 |
3,341 |
3,652 |
3,985 |
4,342 |
4,720 |
| Debt held by the public 7 |
3,914 |
4,421 |
4,792 |
5,074 |
5,333 |
5,589 |
5,844 |
| As a percent of GDP |
36.1% |
38.6% |
39.8% |
40.1% |
40.2% |
40.0% |
39.8% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 A
decrease in the Treasury operating cash balance or compensating balances (which
are assets) would be a means of financing a deficit and therefore
has a positive sign. An increase in checks outstanding (which is a liability)
would also be a means of financing a deficit and therefore also has
a positive sign.
2 Compensating
balances are non-interest bearing Treasury bank deposits that Treasury mainly
uses to compensate banks for collecting tax and non-tax receipts under financial
agency agreements. Most of the balances at the end of 2003 were required
to be invested in nonmarketable Depositary Compensation Securities issued
by the Treasury; the rest of the balances, and the entire amount
in previous years, was invested in the way that the banks decide.
3 Besides
checks outstanding, includes accrued interest payable on Treasury debt, miscellaneous
liability accounts, allocations of special drawing rights; and, as
an offset, cash and monetary assets (other than the Treasury operating cash
balance and compensating balances), miscellaneous asset accounts, and profit
on sale of gold.
4 Consists mainly of unamortized discount (less
premium) on public issues of Treasury notes and bonds (other than zero-coupon
bonds) and unrealized discount on Government account series securities.
5 The statutory debt limit is $7,384 billion.
6 Treasury
securities held by the public and zero-coupon bonds held by Government accounts
are almost all measured at sales price plus amortized discount or less amortized
premium. Agency debt securities are almost all measured at face value. Treasury
securities in the Government account series are measured at face value less
unrealized discount (if any).
7 At
the end of 2003, the Federal Reserve Banks held $656.1 billion of Federal
securities and the rest of the public held $3,257.5 billion. Debt held by
the Federal Reserve Banks is not estimated for future years.
* $500 million or less.
|